NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	10.6 [43]		MVP	C.J. Williams (LAC): +64.8%
LA Clippers	108		Comeback	25.4 [74]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -37.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	2	125%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	34%	0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.1,0.07,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.06
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Dorsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	11	41%	0.06	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,-0.11	0.07	-0.17	0.01	16	62%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	19	43%	-0.07	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
C.J. Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.65	0.65	0.13	0.54	0.02	7	94%	0.68	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	13	74%	0.28	2	-0.04	8	62%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	1	25%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.04
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	52%	0.06	1	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.06	11	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	7	36%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.06,0,-0.38	-0.38	-0.01	-0.37	-0.01	29	53%	-0.18	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	27.5	14.4	30.4	2.6	40.3	141.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.2%

ATL -1.6%

LAC +11.9%

ATL -4.6%

LAC +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	12.7	14.7	101.9	104.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	16.0	13.0	14.1	15.0
LAC	14.1	12.2	13.6	11.1	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Cavanaugh	28	27	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.02	14	-15	29	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.6	12.0	2.60
Marco Belinelli	41	40	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.11	9	-10	19	15.0	14.9	0.14	12.6	12.8	-0.22
Mike Muscala	53	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.46	15	-16	31	13.4	16.6	-3.16	12.5	12.9	-0.46
Tyler Dorsey	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	0	-1	16.8	14.7	2.15	14.1	12.5	1.56
Malcolm Delaney	60	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-15	29	13.8	16.6	-2.79	13.1	12.2	0.90
John Collins	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	4	-9	18.2	14.4	3.81	13.0	12.7	0.34
Dewayne Dedmon	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	0	-1	14.3	15.4	-1.07	13.9	11.9	1.94
Miles Plumlee	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	4	-9	16.4	14.4	1.96	12.4	12.8	-0.46
Dennis Schroder	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	12	-25	16.3	13.4	2.88	12.5	12.9	-0.37
Taurean Prince	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	14.6	16.1	-1.47	12.3	14.0	-1.63
Ersan Ilyasova	67	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	10	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.31	11.8	14.3	-2.44
Kent Bazemore	64	63	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.58	-10	9	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.14	12.8	12.6	0.22

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	72	73	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.48	12	-11	23	12.1	14.2	-2.12	15.6	13.4	2.19
Wesley Johnson	70	71	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.52	8	-7	15	12.1	14.0	-1.86	15.4	14.1	1.25
C.J. Williams	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.58	1	0	1	12.8	12.3	0.54	14.9	15.3	-0.48
Lou Williams	88	87	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	-3	7	12.4	14.8	-2.45	15.2	13.9	1.30
Jawun Evans	86	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	-6	13	12.3	14.9	-2.60	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Tyrone Wallace	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	8	-15	13.4	12.2	1.21	15.0	14.9	0.06
Sindarius Thornwell	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	14.5	12.4	2.12	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Sam Dekker	33	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	8	-15	14.0	12.1	1.86	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Montrezl Harrell	31	32	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.01	-11	12	-23	14.2	12.1	2.12	13.4	15.6	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.41,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.09,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1	90.3%
BOS 99, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.74,1	89.7%
TOR 87, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	89.2%