NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	9.6 [61]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +58.9%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	22.4 [32]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -25.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.01	9	68%	0.34	2	-0.09	4	50%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	56%	0.08	4	-0.15	7	57%	-0.04
Michael Stewart	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	9	55%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Mitch Richmond	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.16,-0.14	0.06	-0.19	0.01	18	64%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.05
Mark Hendrickson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.59	0.59	0.21	0.39	0.01	21	73%	0.63	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.12
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	12	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.21	-0.04	-0.00	20	32%	-0.15	3	-0.10	7	14%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	24.4	14.4	27.6	2.7	32.7	127.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.4%

SAC -5.9%

TOR +25.5%

SAC -2.5%

TOR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.6	110.1	111.2	102.5
season	15.2	15.5		98.5	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		108.2	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	14.8	15.0	17.3	15.8
TOR	14.5	16.5	17.7	17.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	16	17	0.75	-1.25	1.99	0.42	11	-12	23	14.1	16.1	-2.07	18.4	16.2	2.25
Mark Hendrickson	29	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-6	11	13.9	16.7	-2.82	17.3	16.2	1.11
Olden Polynice	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	14.9	15.9	-0.98	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Corliss Williamson	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	6	-13	15.9	15.7	0.26	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Terry Dehere	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-7	13	16.0	15.5	0.51	16.7	16.5	0.17
Michael Smith	34	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	2	-5	17.7	14.6	3.09	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Anthony Johnson	58	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	1	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.4	17.0	-0.64
Billy Owens	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.6	18.3	-2.76	16.7	15.0	1.71
Mitch Richmond	67	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	10	-21	16.4	13.7	2.77	16.8	16.0	0.73
Michael Stewart	61	61	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.77	-2	1	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.24	16.0	17.8	-1.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	58	59	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.64	6	-5	11	15.8	18.2	-2.40	15.0	17.3	-2.37
Doug Christie	74	76	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-7	15	16.4	17.5	-1.05	15.7	16.2	-0.55
Marcus Camby	68	68	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.55	4	-3	7	17.1	14.9	2.21	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Damon Stoudamire	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	3	-5	16.8	14.7	2.03	15.7	16.2	-0.49
John Wallace	47	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	1	-1	16.3	17.0	-0.72	16.2	15.3	0.98
Carlos Rogers	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	3	-5	17.7	15.1	2.55	16.5	14.7	1.82
Oliver Miller	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	-1	3	15.5	17.1	-1.60	16.0	15.6	0.40
Tracy McGrady	23	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	5	-9	16.5	16.6	-0.10	16.2	15.6	0.61
Reggie Slater	15	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	8	-15	16.9	16.5	0.33	15.1	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.58,1	91.4%
DEN 79, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.74,1	90.7%
SAC 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.03,0.07,0.32,0.58,1	90.7%