NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	82		Excitement	8.9 [115]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +41.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	12.9 [108]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -60.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	20	42%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	12	41%	-0.11	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.60	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.26,-0.6	-0.14	-0.46	-0.00	26	38%	-0.49	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.41	0.41	0.05	0.36	0.00	7	64%	0.41	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	54%	0.02	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	13	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	39%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	13	42%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	23	52%	-0.02	5	-0.11	14	64%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	31.3	17.4	26.6	3.6	35.0	143.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +87.6%

NOH -23.0%

NOH -17.9%

PHI +3.2%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.7	93.2	93.4	100.5
season	16.0	16.2		99.3	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	20.4	13.0	18.5	16.7
PHI	14.3	14.9	16.8	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	9	8	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.18	9	-12	21	18.0	16.6	1.42	22.0	14.8	7.16
George Lynch	15	15	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-5	7	18.7	16.3	2.42	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Robert Traylor	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-3	3	17.3	16.6	0.68	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Sean Rooks	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-3	3	1.0	16.9	-15.91	0.0	15.6	-15.64
Steven Smith	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	22.9	15.9	6.96	14.1	15.6	-1.54
Darrell Armstrong	59	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	15.7	18.7	-2.98	15.5	15.4	0.04
Stacey Augmon	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.38	4	-7	11	18.8	15.7	3.07	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Baron Davis	83	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	16.4	21.8	-5.38	15.7	11.8	3.89
P.J. Brown	69	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	0	-3	16.6	17.3	-0.68	15.6	14.9	0.73
Jamal Mashburn	78	82	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	9	-21	16.4	19.4	-3.02	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Jamaal Magloire	69	72	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.59	-7	4	-11	16.2	18.6	-2.43	15.2	16.7	-1.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	53	49	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-8	19	14.9	16.3	-1.45	17.2	16.2	1.03
Kenny Thomas	79	75	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.59	5	-2	7	15.1	18.2	-3.20	16.7	16.8	-0.14
Glenn Robinson	71	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-3	9	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.4	18.2	-1.81
Samuel Dalembert	84	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	15.5	14.6	0.98	16.4	20.7	-4.33
Allen Iverson	89	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	0	3	15.3	21.5	-6.16	16.5	24.5	-7.95
Willie Green	8	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	16.1	15.4	0.72	19.2	16.4	2.78
Kyle Korver	17	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.65	17.3	16.6	0.65
Eric Snow	42	42	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	10	-17	16.3	14.7	1.60	16.3	17.1	-0.84
Amal McCaskill	12	13	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	10	-17	18.9	14.9	3.97	19.5	16.2	3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	91.4%
SAC 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.03,0.07,0.32,0.58,1	91.3%
NJN 106, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	90.2%