NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	7.7 [280]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +19.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	34.5 [45]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -29.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	21	52%	0.09	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	49%	-0.03	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.04
Anthony Peeler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.28	-0.01	-0.27	0.00	11	54%	-0.25	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.22
Mike Bibby	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3	-0.18	-0.13	-0.01	17	28%	-0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.2	0.20	-0.00	0.19	-0.01	15	53%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	81%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	61%	0.11	4	-0.12	14	86%	0.07
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.6	30.8	17.8	29.5	3.6	45.2	153.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +56.7%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +3.3%

SAC -12.5%

SAC -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	15.7	93.7	100.0	100.5
season	14.7	15.6		106.9	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	15.5	14.7	13.5	14.5
MIN	17.5	16.5	16.6	13.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	50	48	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.19	12	-17	29	15.7	13.2	2.50	17.0	14.8	2.19
Anthony Peeler	38	35	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.14	2	-7	9	15.2	14.1	1.11	17.2	15.3	1.92
Peja Stojakovic	89	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	14.4	16.0	-1.58	16.0	15.7	0.32
Mike Bibby	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.0	17.7	-3.75	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Brad Miller	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	2	-9	14.0	15.5	-1.49	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Doug Christie	77	78	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.48	-11	6	-17	14.9	12.9	1.94	15.4	18.6	-3.20
Chris Webber	75	75	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.52	-15	10	-25	14.1	15.9	-1.82	15.4	18.4	-3.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	45	46	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.35	16	-11	27	14.7	17.1	-2.41	14.8	14.2	0.64
Kevin Garnett	84	86	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-9	23	15.6	19.0	-3.39	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Sam Cassell	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-5	15	15.2	18.0	-2.71	15.3	12.5	2.79
Ervin Johnson	48	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	1	3	16.5	15.4	1.13	14.7	14.4	0.33
Latrell Sprewell	79	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	6	-7	16.1	15.5	0.60	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Gary Trent	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.04	-1	6	-7	16.5	15.8	0.77	14.8	14.4	0.37
Darrick Martin	20	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.05	-2	7	-9	17.5	15.5	2.01	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Trenton Hassell	72	71	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	16.3	14.9	1.38	13.7	17.0	-3.38
Michael Olowokandi	29	31	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	14	-23	17.1	15.4	1.69	14.8	14.4	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.03,0.07,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 82, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.58,1	91.3%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	90.7%
PHI 86, NOK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,1	90.6%