inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 79 Excitement8.7 [162] MVPVoshon Lenard (TOR): +30.6%
Toronto Raptors 84 Comeback11.0 [185] LVPJames Posey (DEN): -33.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.080.00875%0.191-0.0500%0.00
Chris Andersen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.00267%0.0600.002100%0.01
Mark Blount0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.02778%0.071-0.02450%-0.02
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney White-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0210%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00357%0.022-0.0710%-0.03
Junior Harrington-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.03-0.0160%-0.141-0.0320%-0.04
Donnell Harvey-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.09-0.01337%-0.083-0.09250%-0.06
Juwan Howard-0.210,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.080.011331%-0.113-0.1000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22-0.11-0.12-0.001240%-0.074-0.161100%0.00
James Posey-0.340,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.32,-0.34-0.13-0.200.002249%-0.147-0.205100%0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.1,0.310.31-0.020.330.011553%0.382-0.08667%-0.02
Michael Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.002100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Chris Jefferies00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.00350%0.032-0.062100%0.01
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011148%0.011-0.04520%-0.09
Morris Peterson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.09-0.021143%-0.1100.00650%-0.09
Antonio Davis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.080.011056%-0.042-0.091267%-0.05
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.09-0.011635%-0.1400.002100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.00617%-0.103-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.429.415.730.22.641.4144.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +46.4%
DEN -8.4%
DEN -26.8%
TOR +43.3%
DEN -4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game16.214.915.584.092.3101.6
season15.716.290.498.8
opponent15.315.3105.199.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.717.114.816.216.2
TOR16.014.215.214.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen29290.58-1.081.660.0518-234114.317.0-2.7117.014.02.98
Nene43420.54-1.041.590.2211-162715.217.0-1.7915.614.41.23
Ryan Bowen46450.05-0.550.600.17-4-1-316.316.10.1615.414.50.97
Nikoloz Tskitishvili670.00-0.500.51-0.083-81117.016.10.879.415.4-5.96
Rodney White1011-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-2-114.816.3-1.5512.715.2-2.51
Kenny Satterfield6262-0.19-0.310.11-0.407-121914.719.0-4.2315.014.70.36
Junior Harrington3229-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-127-1919.014.74.2314.715.0-0.36
James Posey8683-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-5516.017.6-1.5815.212.42.81
Donnell Harvey4137-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-61-716.316.10.2015.114.80.25
Mark Blount5149-1.030.53-1.56-0.56-1611-2717.015.21.7914.415.6-1.23
Juwan Howard6461-1.080.58-1.66-0.41-2318-4117.214.03.2514.216.4-2.19

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams70740.79-0.291.080.3515-102514.516.5-2.0016.415.50.86
Antonio Davis69730.78-0.281.070.3714-92314.516.4-1.9516.913.63.36
Jerome Williams72740.73-0.230.960.3812-71914.516.5-2.0116.116.5-0.41
Voshon Lenard79820.71-0.210.920.4210-51514.517.9-3.4416.315.30.97
Morris Peterson83860.58-0.080.660.2910-51514.618.2-3.6416.611.94.71
Chris Jefferies77-0.040.54-0.580.02-27-918.014.73.3211.916.5-4.67
Michael Bradley1920-0.230.73-0.96-0.03-712-1916.514.52.0116.516.10.41
Greg Foster2221-0.280.78-1.07-0.02-914-2316.414.51.9513.616.9-3.36
Lindsey Hunter3433-0.541.04-1.58-0.01-1823-4117.113.63.4415.316.6-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 98, TOR 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,190.7%
MIN 105, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.58,190.5%
DEN 84, SAC 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.73,190.0%