NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	7.8 [276]		MVP	Travis Best (MIA): +36.8%
Miami Heat	82		Comeback	45.5 [27]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -39.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	20	45%	0.08	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.17
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	25	52%	0.15	7	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.4	-0.15	-0.25	-0.01	12	23%	-0.34	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,0.37	0.37	-0.06	0.43	-0.00	13	35%	0.38	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	11	76%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	11	38%	-0.03	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	11	44%	-0.01	5	-0.17	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.4	29.3	15.7	21.6	2.7	29.0	129.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +82.0%

NYK -20.6%

NYK -18.3%

NYK -3.4%

MIA +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.5	92.0	94.3	101.6
season	15.6	16.3		102.6	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	15.7	17.7	18.4	16.6
MIA	14.8	15.6	18.3	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	15.2	16.9	-1.70	15.1	16.7	-1.65
Charlie Ward	23	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-2	2	14.7	17.3	-2.65	16.0	16.6	-0.65
Shandon Anderson	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	0	-2	14.7	17.3	-2.57	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Othella Harrington	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	16.7	16.6	0.17	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Kurt Thomas	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-7	12	17.0	15.1	1.97	16.9	14.5	2.40
Clar. Weatherspoon	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-4	6	16.7	16.5	0.17	17.1	15.3	1.78
Latrell Sprewell	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	16.8	15.8	0.95	16.7	14.1	2.57
Allan Houston	75	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	17.1	13.8	3.26	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Howard Eisley	65	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	17.1	15.2	1.90	16.7	16.0	0.69

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	32	30	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-12	26	14.2	17.7	-3.50	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Caron Butler	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.63	5	-3	8	16.0	19.5	-3.53	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Travis Best	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-4	10	15.8	18.4	-2.61	17.8	13.0	4.74
Eddie Jones	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	16.6	15.9	0.72	17.3	13.2	4.09
Malik Allen	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.59	-6	8	-14	16.9	15.8	1.07	17.2	15.6	1.55
Brian Grant	53	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-5	12	16.1	17.0	-0.84	17.4	15.4	2.01
Rasual Butler	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	4	-6	16.4	16.5	-0.07	13.3	17.7	-4.43
Anthony Carter	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	22.1	16.0	6.18	13.1	17.0	-3.88
Mike James	20	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	5	-8	18.1	16.0	2.13	14.9	17.1	-2.17
Vladimir Stepania	33	33	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	15	-28	18.5	15.2	3.21	15.5	17.4	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,1	89.6%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	89.4%
TOR 90, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.26,1	89.2%