NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	8.7 [156]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +27.5%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	12.5 [62]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (UTA): -11.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	0.00	3	133%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.14	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	0.01	15	67%	0.27	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	18	57%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	14	66%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.06
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.09	0.00	9	40%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	27.6	17.4	24.7	3.4	38.5	139.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +41.3%

SAS -10.0%

UTA +13.9%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.4	102.1	105.3	104.1
season	15.2	16.0		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	18.1	14.4	15.2	15.8
UTA	15.7	11.9	16.2	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	13	12	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.17	8	-11	19	15.4	15.9	-0.53	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Gary Neal	66	67	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.21	6	-9	15	15.8	15.8	0.03	15.5	13.0	2.57
Matt Bonner	14	13	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.15	6	-9	15	16.2	15.8	0.44	13.0	15.1	-2.09
Tiago Splitter	38	39	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.17	5	-8	13	17.2	14.9	2.30	14.4	15.1	-0.75
Cory Joseph	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.37	8.6	15.3	-6.73
DeJuan Blair	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.0	15.1	-1.03
Nando De Colo	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	1	-5	19.0	15.4	3.58	12.7	15.1	-2.44
Danny Green	58	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	-1	-1	15.4	16.5	-1.11	16.1	12.7	3.41
Manu Ginobili	56	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	5	-13	16.3	15.1	1.19	13.3	16.9	-3.61
Boris Diaw	45	46	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.47	-10	7	-17	15.8	15.9	-0.16	15.3	14.3	0.99
Tony Parker	70	70	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.59	-7	4	-11	15.4	17.0	-1.61	15.4	13.2	2.19
Tim Duncan	66	65	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.60	-7	4	-11	15.3	17.2	-1.91	15.4	13.6	1.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	64	63	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.71	7	-4	11	15.3	13.7	1.56	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Paul Millsap	70	71	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.57	11	-8	19	15.0	14.2	0.85	15.5	17.0	-1.54
Gordon Hayward	56	55	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-10	23	14.8	14.8	-0.07	16.5	14.9	1.61
Randy Foye	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.57	-1	4	-5	14.9	14.5	0.39	15.1	17.6	-2.47
Al Jefferson	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.54	-1	4	-5	15.1	13.8	1.30	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Enes Kanter	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.13	4	-1	5	13.8	15.1	-1.30	16.9	15.4	1.47
DeMarre Carroll	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.15	4	-1	5	14.5	14.9	-0.39	17.6	15.1	2.47
Marvin Williams	38	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	13	-23	14.8	14.8	0.07	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Derrick Favors	24	23	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.16	-8	11	-19	14.2	15.0	-0.85	17.0	15.5	1.54
Earl Watson	30	31	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.30	-4	7	-11	13.7	15.3	-1.56	17.3	15.1	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	90.7%
PHI 100, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,1	90.7%
PHI 96, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.16,1	90.5%