NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	10.6 [48]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +77.3%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	6.7 [147]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -24.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.38	0.06	0.31	-0.01	13	62%	0.42	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14	-0.01	0.15	0.00	5	42%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	11	54%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.06
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	0.00	12	47%	-0.12	2	-0.12	12	58%	-0.09

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.77	0.77	0.16	0.66	0.04	22	67%	1.07	4	-0.30	14	86%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.3	0.30	-0.01	0.31	0.00	5	45%	0.34	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.12
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.00	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	11	45%	0.16	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	7	50%	-0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.3	15.7	32.5	2.6	43.0	151.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +116.7%

PHI -13.1%

PHI -35.6%

PHI -20.7%

NJN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.5	103.2	108.9	106.4
season	15.5	16.0		105.3	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.9		108.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	13.9	13.5	17.7	15.2
NJN	16.6	15.5	16.6	16.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	32	33	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.41	1	-3	4	16.2	14.7	1.42	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Willie Green	50	48	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.10	14	-16	30	15.0	15.5	-0.53	16.3	16.2	0.14
Lou Williams	36	37	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.53	-9	7	-16	16.9	14.2	2.67	16.5	16.1	0.37
Reggie Evans	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	11	-24	17.3	14.1	3.23	16.4	16.2	0.18
Andre Iguodala	81	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-5	8	15.3	14.6	0.74	16.7	13.8	2.83
Andre Miller	67	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.58	5	-7	12	14.4	17.4	-3.05	16.6	15.4	1.22
Thaddeus Young	72	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-1	0	14.6	17.5	-2.91	15.9	17.5	-1.64
Samuel Dalembert	62	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.90	4	-6	10	14.3	17.1	-2.81	16.3	16.2	0.15
Royal Ivey	33	33	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.74	-14	12	-26	15.5	15.0	0.50	15.2	16.9	-1.67

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	36	36	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.61	14	-12	26	16.6	16.0	0.62	13.6	16.2	-2.59
Devin Harris	79	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.45	10	-8	18	16.1	17.3	-1.15	14.9	18.2	-3.33
Brook Lopez	50	55	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.78	-3	5	-8	17.1	15.2	1.88	15.5	14.8	0.69
Keyon Dooling	59	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-7	16	16.2	16.5	-0.33	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Vince Carter	66	70	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.54	-11	13	-24	16.0	17.0	-1.06	15.9	13.2	2.73
Ryan Anderson	27	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-5	12	15.6	16.6	-0.96	15.6	15.1	0.46
Sean Williams	40	38	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.15	6	-4	10	15.2	17.1	-1.88	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Yi Jianlian	54	56	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.14	-6	8	-14	17.0	15.1	1.93	15.8	14.4	1.36
Trenton Hassell	39	44	-0.60	1.10	-1.71	-0.13	-16	18	-34	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.8	14.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	91.9%
SAS 96, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.16,1	90.5%
OKC 89, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.27,1	90.5%