NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Excitement	8.6 [160]		MVP	David West (NOH): +50.3%
New Orleans Hornets	91		Comeback	4.5 [401]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -44.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	13	68%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.01	6	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	56%	0.09	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.1	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	13	55%	-0.01	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.34	-0.09	-0.26	-0.01	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.31,-0.45	-0.03	-0.40	0.02	18	52%	-0.30	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,0,0.5	0.50	0.03	0.47	-0.00	18	56%	0.55	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	14	63%	0.22	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	7	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.33	-0.33	-0.04	-0.29	0.00	12	36%	-0.33	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	30.2	15.8	25.4	2.4	31.7	133.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +46.4%

OKC -6.1%

OKC -33.1%

NOH +44.6%

OKC -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	17.2	15.5	98.9	103.4	105.7
season	15.0	16.2		108.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.4	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	15.1	14.2	17.7	15.2
NOH	17.3	16.2	17.9	17.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	38	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-4	6	18.1	13.1	4.96	17.7	16.8	0.88
Nenad Krstic	40	40	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-9	16	13.7	16.4	-2.73	17.0	17.3	-0.31
Eric Maynor	25	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.12	-2	0	-2	16.2	14.8	1.46	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Nick Collison	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	5	-12	17.0	13.7	3.35	17.3	17.1	0.15
Thabo Sefolosha	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	13.1	16.6	-3.53	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Jeff Green	82	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	14.2	25.2	-11.04	17.4	15.5	1.86
Serge Ibaka	50	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	7	-16	16.4	13.7	2.73	17.3	17.0	0.31
Kevin Durant	72	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.58	-1	-1	0	15.0	15.8	-0.74	17.1	17.7	-0.67
Russell Westbrook	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	0	-2	14.6	16.9	-2.36	17.5	16.4	1.09

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	47	49	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.34	19	-17	36	17.9	16.4	1.50	16.3	13.8	2.50
Chris Paul	66	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.62	0	2	-2	17.0	17.7	-0.65	14.3	18.1	-3.79
David West	59	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	17.8	16.0	1.83	15.5	14.4	1.10
Trevor Ariza	72	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	6	-10	17.3	16.8	0.47	14.5	18.8	-4.26
Jason Smith	29	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	13.8	18.9	-5.12	12.8	16.3	-3.49
Marco Belinelli	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.47	-13	15	-28	17.0	17.3	-0.33	12.1	16.6	-4.47
DJ Mbenga	19	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	-3	8	18.5	16.8	1.63	15.6	15.1	0.56
Willie Green	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	14.4	17.9	-3.45	16.1	15.0	1.15
Quincy Pondexter	19	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	-1	4	18.9	16.7	2.24	18.9	14.2	4.69
Emeka Okafor	63	64	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	12	-22	17.5	16.4	1.16	15.7	13.8	1.89
Jarrett Jack	22	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.21	2	0	2	17.7	17.0	0.65	18.1	14.3	3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.16,1	90.5%
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	90.3%
CHI 86, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.58,1	89.1%