NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	8.3 [192]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +102.5%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	9.5 [74]		LVP	Brandon Rush (IND): -8.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.67	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.67	0.22	0.41	-0.03	15	78%	0.69	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
T.J. Ford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	72%	0.28	2	-0.11	10	90%	0.04
Jarrett Jack	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.02	8	73%	0.19	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Maceo Baston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	10	52%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.11,1.03	1.03	0.11	0.90	-0.01	24	60%	1.11	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.24	0.04	0.06	21	69%	0.22	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.06	-0.00	9	80%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	76%	0.11	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.6	30.2	15.4	27.0	1.6	35.6	140.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.3%

IND -12.0%

WAS +21.5%

WAS +5.3%

WAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.4	15.5	124.5	128.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.9		106.5	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		111.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.8	15.9	14.0	15.3	14.4
WAS	15.4	16.9	15.5	18.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	49	49	0.45	-0.95	1.40	-0.05	17	-19	36	13.9	15.0	-1.08	16.6	16.3	0.28
Travis Diener	25	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.23	-6	4	-10	17.3	13.3	3.93	16.2	16.5	-0.37
Mike Dunleavy	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	11.7	14.6	-2.89	14.4	16.6	-2.24
Stephen Graham	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	16.1	14.2	1.89	14.9	16.5	-1.69
Roy Hibbert	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.08	-5	3	-8	18.0	14.1	3.90	13.5	16.7	-3.19
Rasho Nesterovic	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	16.5	14.0	2.49	17.2	16.3	0.95
Maceo Baston	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	8	-18	15.4	14.1	1.33	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Troy Murphy	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.57	10	-12	22	13.8	16.0	-2.13	16.4	16.4	0.03
Jarrett Jack	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.54	3	-5	8	14.0	16.2	-2.19	16.9	14.2	2.67
T.J. Ford	69	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.67	4	-6	10	13.3	17.3	-3.93	16.5	16.2	0.37
Danny Granger	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	2	-6	14.0	15.6	-1.59	16.5	16.2	0.34
Brandon Rush	55	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	9	-20	15.4	12.9	2.51	16.6	16.2	0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	43	45	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.76	0	2	-2	16.5	16.3	0.17	12.8	15.9	-3.06
Nick Young	60	60	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-11	24	16.4	16.5	-0.10	15.5	12.4	3.15
Antawn Jamison	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-4	10	16.2	17.8	-1.62	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Dominic McGuire	51	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.62	-5	7	-12	17.1	15.5	1.59	13.4	15.7	-2.36
Caron Butler	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	16.7	14.9	1.84	13.9	16.9	-3.02
Juan Dixon	11	12	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	-1	4	13.5	16.8	-3.36	16.2	14.1	2.03
JaVale McGee	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	16.0	16.7	-0.71	15.4	13.8	1.58
Darius Songaila	34	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	-2	6	16.0	16.7	-0.66	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Javaris Crittenton	50	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.32	2	0	2	16.3	16.5	-0.17	15.9	12.8	3.06
Oleksiy Pecherov	18	18	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	16	-30	17.7	16.1	1.62	13.3	14.6	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1	92.6%
PHI 96, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.16,1	91.9%
OKC 115, POR 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.28,1	91.1%