NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	7.9 [324]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +66.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	74.8 [41]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -7.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.28	0.16	0.13	0.01	20	75%	0.48	5	-0.20	8	62%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	10	77%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	8	94%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	31	45%	0.05	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.67	0.67	0.20	0.49	0.02	33	68%	0.81	6	-0.14	8	75%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	9	68%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	19	45%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.05	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.05
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.5	30.6	15.8	26.4	3.3	33.4	139.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +8.8%

POR +1.8%

POR +21.0%

POR +20.0%

OKC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.7	14.3	116.2	118.0	109.3
season	12.9	14.9		108.9	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.9		109.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.3	14.0	12.0	13.6	13.2
POR	15.5	15.4	18.5	13.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	19	18	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-4	5	14.7	12.9	1.85	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Raymond Felton	6	7	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	20.0	12.8	7.19	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Steven Adams	58	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-2	1	12.5	14.3	-1.88	17.3	13.4	3.86
Markieff Morris	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	1	-5	18.1	12.9	5.27	12.0	16.0	-4.01
Paul George	86	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-9	15	13.6	10.9	2.67	15.9	14.5	1.41
Jerami Grant	92	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-4	5	12.9	18.1	-5.27	16.0	12.0	4.01
Russell Westbrook	93	93	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	12.8	20.0	-7.19	15.8	14.6	1.20
Dennis Schroder	69	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.29	-11	8	-19	13.7	12.1	1.59	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Terrance Ferguson	65	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.56	-4	1	-5	12.5	14.6	-2.09	15.6	15.9	-0.34

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	57	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.66	5	-2	7	15.7	15.7	-0.00	12.7	14.0	-1.23
Maurice Harkless	66	66	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.60	6	-3	9	16.4	14.3	2.11	13.0	13.7	-0.64
Seth Curry	58	57	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-12	27	14.3	17.6	-3.33	13.9	12.4	1.50
Damian Lillard	93	92	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.48	9	-6	15	15.7	15.7	-0.03	13.4	10.7	2.72
CJ McCollum	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.53	-3	6	-9	16.3	14.6	1.63	13.1	13.5	-0.35
Meyers Leonard	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	14.8	15.8	-0.98	14.2	13.1	1.07
Enes Kanter	65	66	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	1	1	16.7	13.9	2.78	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Evan Turner	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	4	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.38	12.6	13.6	-0.95
Zach Collins	23	21	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.08	-11	14	-25	14.3	16.1	-1.86	14.3	13.0	1.32
Rodney Hood	27	27	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	12	-21	15.1	15.9	-0.79	13.7	13.1	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	91.1%
BKN 98, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.42,1	89.3%
LAC 108, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1	89.2%