NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	8.1 [229]		MVP	Corey Brewer (DEN): +100.2%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	134.1 [23]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): -21.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	15	71%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	11	77%	0.26	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	15	60%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.24	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Arnett Moultrie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	12	46%	0.05	6	-0.19	2	0%	-0.09

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,1	1.00	0.20	0.78	-0.02	18	71%	1.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.61
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	14	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	55%	0.06	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	7	-0.20	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	25.2	15.8	25.2	2.3	39.6	134.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -67.3%

DEN +98.4%

DEN +1.0%

DEN +11.4%

DEN +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.4	103.1	106.3	104.1
season	15.5	14.4		100.5	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	16.5	13.9	15.2	15.3
DEN	14.4	15.5	16.8	12.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	74	74	0.86	-1.36	2.22	0.21	22	-23	45	15.0	16.2	-1.22	15.9	10.6	5.25
Arnett Moultrie	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	10	-21	17.0	13.9	3.09	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Charles Jenkins	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.60	12.0	15.1	-3.13
Evan Turner	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-6	11	14.8	16.1	-1.34	14.9	14.4	0.48
Damien Wilkins	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.62	11	-12	23	14.6	18.3	-3.76	15.3	12.1	3.15
Royal Ivey	32	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	11	-23	18.3	13.8	4.56	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Jrue Holiday	79	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.69	3	-4	7	14.5	18.8	-4.35	15.1	13.1	2.07
Thaddeus Young	71	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.44	-7	6	-13	14.8	16.7	-1.87	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Dorell Wright	32	30	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.52	-12	11	-23	16.6	14.6	1.99	12.2	15.9	-3.71

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	43	43	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.77	7	-6	13	13.0	16.1	-3.12	16.3	14.5	1.74
Andre Iguodala	79	83	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.56	8	-7	15	14.4	16.2	-1.78	15.4	14.9	0.50
Corey Brewer	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-2	5	13.4	17.7	-4.32	15.5	14.7	0.80
Danilo Gallinari	69	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	0	1	15.5	12.6	2.88	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Evan Fournier	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	-3	7	12.1	15.1	-3.01	14.8	15.4	-0.60
JaVale McGee	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	13.0	15.5	-2.48	17.7	14.2	3.56
Andre Miller	79	80	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.36	-12	13	-25	15.3	11.7	3.55	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Kenneth Faried	50	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.10	0	1	-1	16.2	13.0	3.16	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Kosta Koufos	43	44	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.24	-7	8	-15	16.9	12.9	3.98	13.8	16.5	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.16,1	90.7%
UTA 93, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.28,1	90.6%
TOR 110, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.28,1	90.5%