inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 107 Excitement3.2 [1148] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.2%
New Orleans Pelicans 90 Comeback1.0 [889] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (NOP): -9.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.140,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.010.011963%0.1400.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.00-0.01687%0.122-0.02475%-0.01
Monta Ellis0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.01-0.031657%0.123-0.05875%-0.02
Jose Calderon0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.010.05692%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00664%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Jae Crowder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.000.06875%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gal Mekel0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Ledo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01636%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Shane Larkin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.000.03383%0.012-0.0300%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Gordon0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.21-0.000.101382%0.152-0.047100%0.02
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.041947%0.042-0.02743%-0.02
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.011155%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03267%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0300%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.011141%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00747%-0.003-0.051100%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0020%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.01-0.05822%-0.033-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.528.415.424.42.425.3123.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +47.1%
NOP -11.2%
DAL +1.1%
DAL +11.0%
DAL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALNOPNBADALNOPNBA
this game16.115.915.1118.9100.0105.2
season15.315.5109.0105.6
opponent15.315.0108.5107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.713.217.919.316.1
NOP13.019.514.916.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki54540.63-0.130.76-0.2831-144515.117.6-2.5116.415.01.40
Samuel Dalembert36370.55-0.050.59-0.2527-103713.118.2-5.0817.514.72.80
Monta Ellis63630.460.040.41-0.011611515.318.1-2.7716.215.11.08
Jae Crowder75750.450.050.40-0.051701715.519.1-3.5216.811.25.60
Jose Calderon60610.400.100.29-0.011431115.317.9-2.6016.614.42.14
Shane Larkin25250.100.40-0.31-0.05512-718.015.42.5815.116.2-1.09
Brandan Wright28260.040.46-0.430.36-1128-3919.714.55.2014.016.6-2.57
Ricky Ledo16170.020.48-0.46-0.04215-1317.015.91.0515.116.1-1.00
Bernard James560.000.50-0.50-0.09314-1119.016.03.0417.715.71.93
Gal Mekel330.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1314.016.2-2.2112.316.0-3.66
DeJuan Blair4646-0.060.56-0.620.26-1128-3918.014.23.7314.317.5-3.11
Vince Carter3937-0.070.57-0.640.22-1027-3717.715.02.7113.917.2-3.35

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Withey1516-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-141115.915.90.0818.215.72.57
Anthony Morrow1818-0.04-0.470.43-0.01-1-161516.015.80.1718.515.52.96
Greg Stiemsma2421-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-141116.215.70.4715.316.4-1.11
Brian Roberts4545-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-171716.015.70.3116.715.61.11
Alexis Ajinca1011-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-11515.515.9-0.4112.116.7-4.61
Darius Miller3333-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-192115.616.0-0.4619.014.54.57
Eric Gordon6667-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-3-141115.616.5-0.8616.315.50.82
Tyreke Evans2018-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-9115.416.0-0.5414.616.5-1.97
Jason Smith4749-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-11-6-515.016.8-1.7716.915.31.59
Anthony Davis7574-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.06-13-4-916.413.13.3615.817.7-1.89
Austin Rivers4848-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-192-2115.516.3-0.7915.516.9-1.40
Al-Farouq Aminu4950-0.46-0.04-0.420.13-203-2316.615.01.5014.118.6-4.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 107, OKC 720.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
IND 117, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.4%
BOS 114, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%