NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	4.0 [1022]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +20.9%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.1 [880]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -10.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.03	0.01	12	85%	0.22	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	8	106%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	19	59%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	18	45%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.22	0.01	0.13	6	111%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	14	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.06
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.00	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	12	43%	-0.04	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.5	31.0	14.8	27.3	2.8	24.3	131.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.8%

SAC -3.4%

IND +5.8%

IND +11.8%

SAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	15.5	113.6	104.8	106.4
season	14.1	15.0		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		112.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.4	14.4	14.6	15.6	13.9
SAC	13.9	15.0	13.1	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-9	26	13.9	14.0	-0.15	15.0	11.5	3.44
Jarrett Jack	85	87	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	14.3	12.0	2.29	13.7	15.3	-1.63
Jeff Foster	58	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	13.6	14.2	-0.58	13.9	14.0	-0.04
Troy Murphy	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	14.3	12.9	1.39	14.1	13.5	0.55
T.J. Ford	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-2	12	13.5	14.4	-0.94	14.2	13.6	0.58
Travis Diener	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	12	-16	14.2	13.7	0.47	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Rasho Nesterovic	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	7	-6	13.9	13.9	-0.05	15.4	13.6	1.81
Roy Hibbert	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	14.3	13.7	0.67	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Brandon Rush	44	46	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	11	-14	13.3	14.3	-1.00	12.9	14.8	-1.87
Stephen Graham	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	16	-24	12.8	14.2	-1.36	12.5	14.3	-1.77

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	31	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-21	34	11.5	14.9	-3.40	13.2	14.2	-0.96
Rashad McCants	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-20	32	13.5	14.7	-1.27	14.1	13.5	0.58
Andres Nocioni	43	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	13.9	14.0	-0.04	12.0	15.1	-3.15
Jason Thompson	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	13.8	14.2	-0.44	14.6	12.5	2.14
Donte Greene	14	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	14.1	13.9	0.24	15.4	13.7	1.78
Francisco Garcia	74	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	2	-12	14.5	12.5	2.06	13.7	14.3	-0.61
Spencer Hawes	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	14.1	13.6	0.53	14.3	12.6	1.71
Bobby Jackson	77	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	8	-24	14.7	11.7	2.96	14.2	13.1	1.10
Kevin Martin	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	16	-40	13.9	14.0	-0.05	13.5	14.9	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
OKC 104, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
TOR 125, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%