NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	2.9 [1192]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +6.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	72		Comeback	1.1 [1037]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -9.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	-0.00	-0.07	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.01	0.07	24	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	73%	-0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Oden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	40%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	-0.05	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	29.4	15.7	26.8	1.8	23.3	127.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.1%

OKC -6.9%

POR +15.0%

POR +1.1%

POR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.5	121.6	81.8	106.4
season	16.7	14.9		111.0	100.5
opponent	15.1	16.0		106.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	16.8	17.0	20.4	17.4
OKC	17.4	15.9	15.0	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.26	30	5	25	16.8	20.2	-3.41	15.7	14.0	1.65
Nicolas Batum	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.62	40	-5	45	17.6	17.0	0.67	16.4	13.8	2.58
Joel Przybilla	52	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.27	28	7	21	16.4	18.8	-2.47	16.7	13.3	3.34
Steve Blake	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.28	28	7	21	16.2	19.3	-3.08	16.0	14.2	1.78
Brandon Roy	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.36	30	5	25	16.7	18.2	-1.44	16.1	14.4	1.74
Michael Ruffin	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	29	-23	19.0	17.3	1.74	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Jerryd Bayless	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	27	-19	20.6	16.9	3.73	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Rudy Fernandez	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	38	-41	17.9	17.2	0.69	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Travis Outlaw	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	40	-45	16.5	18.0	-1.48	13.8	16.4	-2.62
Sergio Rodriguez	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.25	7	28	-21	19.4	16.3	3.06	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Greg Oden	30	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	34	-33	18.8	16.6	2.16	13.4	16.4	-2.96
Channing Frye	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.27	5	30	-25	20.0	16.7	3.25	13.8	15.7	-1.89

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	42	42	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-36	37	13.6	16.9	-3.27	18.7	16.2	2.56
Chucky Atkins	48	48	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.23	-5	-30	25	13.4	17.6	-4.21	18.2	16.3	1.88
Nick Collison	44	43	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-34	33	13.9	16.8	-2.98	16.5	18.2	-1.69
Robert Swift	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-24	13	14.3	15.6	-1.27	19.8	16.8	3.03
Shaun Livingston	49	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.36	-13	-22	9	14.6	16.3	-1.76	17.7	17.0	0.71
Russell Westbrook	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-11	-13	16.8	13.5	3.26	16.3	18.9	-2.57
Nenad Krstic	28	28	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	-12	-11	18.3	14.0	4.30	17.2	17.4	-0.24
Thabo Sefolosha	60	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.41	-32	-3	-29	15.2	15.6	-0.37	18.3	15.4	2.87
Jeff Green	53	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.38	-33	-2	-31	16.1	14.2	1.87	16.1	19.3	-3.22
Kevin Durant	50	49	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.38	-34	-1	-33	17.3	12.7	4.60	16.4	18.5	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DAL 107, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%