inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 114 Excitement3.4 [1082] MVPAntoine Walker (BOS): +11.9%
Atlanta Hawks 90 Comeback1.0 [652] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -8.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.170.000.051879%0.173-0.052100%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0.060,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.011173%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Tony Battie0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03771%0.0400.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.03540%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dana Barros0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02771%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001552%0.042-0.051100%0.00
Doug Overton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01433%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02950%0.012-0.03475%-0.02
Kenny Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.04938%-0.021-0.00367%-0.00
Eric Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.03617%-0.052-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02879%0.073-0.05887%0.01
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06582%0.0100.001100%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.05-0.00-0.06839%0.0110.00250%-0.00
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01175%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03430%-0.0310.00250%0.00
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02150%-0.002-0.032100%0.01
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02644%-0.031-0.01425%-0.02
Roshown McLeod0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02737%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.012051%-0.023-0.051191%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00560%0.024-0.1000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02714%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.32.333.015.027.21.629.6129.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +37.6%
ATL -8.5%
BOS +10.8%
BOS +8.6%
BOS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game14.814.915.2118.891.8101.7
season14.715.4102.499.3
opponent15.215.1105.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.513.914.816.014.8
ATL14.314.915.814.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce67690.57-0.070.65-0.2227-33013.817.0-3.2314.915.0-0.13
Antoine Walker64660.450.050.41-0.3126-22814.016.3-2.3415.214.30.93
Dana Barros30280.260.240.030.18321-1815.814.31.4315.614.60.98
Calbert Cheaney39390.250.25-0.010.04717-1015.314.40.8413.316.0-2.74
Kenny Anderson56600.240.26-0.03-0.321951413.716.2-2.4714.914.9-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko33320.200.30-0.10-0.01717-1014.115.2-1.1014.015.3-1.35
Adrian Griffin43460.190.31-0.12-0.25159615.614.11.4515.714.21.53
Danny Fortson45460.100.40-0.290.19-327-3016.413.33.0914.914.9-0.03
Tony Battie44470.100.40-0.29-0.311410414.714.8-0.1415.314.50.75
Eric Williams39380.070.43-0.370.04123-2214.914.70.2015.914.31.57
Doug Overton20190.060.44-0.37-0.05420-1616.714.32.4213.115.3-2.24

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis41380.03-0.530.570.030-242414.315.4-1.1015.314.40.84
Cal Bowdler1212-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-222013.915.0-1.1317.714.43.39
Dion Glover2121-0.01-0.490.480.19-7-171014.515.0-0.4914.714.8-0.09
Bimbo Coles4342-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-232214.515.2-0.6715.014.60.43
Lorenzen Wright4038-0.08-0.420.350.16-8-16814.715.1-0.3513.415.7-2.34
Chris Crawford4140-0.08-0.420.340.16-8-16815.014.80.1616.113.82.30
Dikembe Mutombo6161-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.00-14-10-415.613.81.7214.415.5-1.06
Roshown McLeod3836-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-20-4-1614.415.2-0.8014.415.0-0.54
Alan Henderson6061-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-18-6-1215.214.40.8414.714.9-0.21
Jim Jackson7775-0.49-0.01-0.480.01-17-7-1015.014.50.4914.814.70.09
Jason Terry5656-0.530.03-0.560.20-251-2615.214.50.7614.315.4-1.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 107, OKC 720.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
IND 117, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.2%
DAL 107, NOP 900.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%