NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	3.7 [1066]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +13.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	82		Comeback	1.0 [825]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): -14.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.01	0.09	19	73%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	21	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.02	0.07	16	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	9	89%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	33%	0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Franklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	0.10	11	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	43%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	11	8%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	28.2	16.5	24.5	2.5	26.3	121.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.2%

MEM -7.7%

GSW +9.8%

MEM -3.6%

GSW +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	17.9	15.1	125.6	93.2	105.2
season	14.2	16.4		105.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		103.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	16.8	12.1	16.4	15.2
MEM	20.4	15.9	19.7	15.7	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	81	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	5	16	15.1	16.2	-1.05	18.0	15.6	2.40
David Lee	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	9	8	14.6	18.2	-3.62	18.2	16.2	1.97
Klay Thompson	70	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	6	14	14.4	18.6	-4.12	18.0	17.3	0.71
Andrew Bogut	48	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	15	-4	14.0	16.8	-2.83	20.4	15.0	5.41
Harrison Barnes	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.37	24	2	22	15.0	16.0	-1.00	18.1	17.3	0.79
Draymond Green	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	12	2	16.9	14.0	2.89	17.9	17.8	0.14
Marreese Speights	17	20	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.29	15	11	4	16.6	14.9	1.79	15.4	18.6	-3.19
Jermaine O'Neal	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	22	-18	17.6	13.8	3.81	15.2	19.4	-4.11
Nemanja Nedovic	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	16.8	15.1	1.75	13.8	18.2	-4.33
Kent Bazemore	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	24	-22	16.8	15.1	1.75	13.8	18.2	-4.33

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Franklin	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-19	12	14.4	18.4	-4.00	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Mike Miller	54	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.24	-11	-15	4	15.5	21.6	-6.17	16.4	13.4	2.92
Quincy Pondexter	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-19	12	21.5	16.7	4.85	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Jon Leuer	55	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-14	2	16.2	20.6	-4.39	16.6	12.9	3.68
Jerryd Bayless	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-20	14	17.1	18.7	-1.59	15.9	14.4	1.47
Mike Conley	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-18	10	19.1	15.8	3.22	14.2	17.0	-2.85
Kosta Koufos	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-12	-2	18.3	17.0	1.26	14.8	16.1	-1.26
Nick Calathes	43	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.33	-24	-2	-22	16.2	19.5	-3.33	16.2	14.3	1.88
Tayshaun Prince	34	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-11	-4	21.6	15.5	6.17	13.4	16.4	-2.92
Zach Randolph	63	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	0	-26	18.9	15.2	3.66	14.3	17.2	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIN 116, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NOP 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%