NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	4.2 [1000]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +15.3%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	1.0 [1132]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): -8.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	15	75%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	14	69%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	60%	0.11	4	-0.08	11	73%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Cooke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04
Jameer Nelson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.02
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	3	12%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	20	44%	-0.01	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	3	22%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	31.5	15.3	26.4	1.8	26.2	131.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +47.4%

ORL -10.3%

NOP +2.6%

NOP +5.8%

NOP +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.7	109.9	96.0	107.5
season	13.6	14.6		108.0	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.7	13.0	14.2	16.3	14.5
ORL	14.1	13.2	15.1	13.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-3	20	13.9	15.6	-1.67	14.3	13.4	0.93
Dante Cunningham	57	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	4	6	13.5	15.8	-2.31	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Jrue Holiday	62	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	13.9	15.5	-1.64	14.4	13.3	1.04
Darius Miller	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.25	20	-6	26	13.2	16.3	-3.08	14.0	14.0	-0.04
E'Twaun Moore	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	2	10	14.7	14.4	0.35	15.3	13.0	2.32
Ian Clark	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	8	-2	15.7	13.9	1.80	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Jameer Nelson	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	15.0	14.2	0.89	13.0	14.7	-1.64
Rajon Rondo	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	10	-6	14.8	14.3	0.57	14.5	13.5	1.07
DeMarcus Cousins	67	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	2	10	15.6	12.5	3.02	14.5	12.9	1.53
Charles Cooke	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	27	-40	16.8	14.2	2.61	10.8	14.4	-3.55
Cheick Diallo	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	16.7	14.2	2.48	10.8	14.4	-3.55

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-15	16	14.1	13.9	0.25	15.9	13.8	2.15
Jamel Artis	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-16	18	13.6	14.1	-0.54	16.3	13.9	2.37
Jonathon Simmons	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-6	-2	14.0	13.9	0.10	14.8	13.9	0.91
Bismack Biyombo	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-12	10	13.8	14.1	-0.28	13.7	15.0	-1.25
Adreian Payne	29	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-12	10	13.4	14.2	-0.75	14.9	14.4	0.52
Wes Iwundu	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-20	26	13.0	14.4	-1.41	15.6	14.0	1.60
D.J. Augustin	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.20	-14	0	-14	14.8	12.7	2.14	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Shelvin Mack	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-15	16	13.0	14.5	-1.54	15.5	14.0	1.41
Elfrid Payton	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	14.3	13.4	0.92	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Mario Hezonja	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-15	16	13.3	14.5	-1.17	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Nikola Vucevic	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.37	-26	12	-38	14.7	12.9	1.84	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Arron Afflalo	26	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	6	-26	14.0	14.0	-0.03	11.0	15.6	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHI 120, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 83, SAS 68	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%