NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	3.9 [1005]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +3.4%
Charlotte Hornets	77		Comeback	1.0 [346]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -20.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	14	77%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	10	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Obinna Ekezie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	-0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	10	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	7	54%	-0.04	4	-0.09	10	50%	-0.05
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.22	-0.03	-0.05	21	28%	-0.14	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	13	35%	-0.11	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	32.0	16.6	24.5	1.8	31.2	133.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.0%

WAS +9.5%

CHH -6.1%

CHH -2.2%

WAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	102.2	83.7	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		98.6	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.2		97.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.7	15.9	18.9	18.5	15.9
CHH	15.5	12.4	17.1	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-1	20	15.8	16.1	-0.26	15.6	14.5	1.09
Juwan Howard	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	8	2	15.8	16.0	-0.18	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Mitch Richmond	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	8	2	15.7	16.2	-0.49	14.8	15.9	-1.02
Rod Strickland	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	9	0	15.9	16.0	-0.12	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Jahidi White	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	11	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.52	16.1	14.6	1.45
Michael Smith	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	8	2	16.6	15.4	1.16	15.9	14.7	1.19
Chris Whitney	32	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	9	0	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.4	15.2	0.24
Richard Hamilton	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	9	0	16.7	15.3	1.37	16.4	14.3	2.16
Gerard King	40	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	10	-2	16.3	15.5	0.80	14.4	15.8	-1.35
Obinna Ekezie	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	19	-20	15.9	15.9	0.04	12.4	15.7	-3.32
Cherokee Parks	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	18	-18	14.3	16.6	-2.30	13.9	15.8	-1.83

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim James	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	14.4	15.3	-0.88	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Jamaal Magloire	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.7	15.0	1.64	17.5	15.7	1.85
Hersey Hawkins	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.7	15.0	1.64	17.5	15.7	1.85
Eldridge Recasner	24	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-12	6	16.8	14.7	2.16	16.0	15.9	0.10
Otis Thorpe	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-9	0	16.1	14.9	1.20	13.4	16.8	-3.35
Elden Campbell	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-10	2	14.6	16.3	-1.75	16.6	14.8	1.89
Eddie Robinson	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-6	-6	16.2	14.7	1.49	16.3	15.7	0.58
Jamal Mashburn	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	14.7	16.9	-2.14	15.8	16.2	-0.37
P.J. Brown	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-2	-14	15.4	14.7	0.68	15.8	16.1	-0.26
David Wesley	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-3	-12	14.8	16.7	-1.91	15.3	17.7	-2.34
Baron Davis	77	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-4	-10	14.9	16.9	-1.94	16.1	14.9	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	96.1%
MIA 98, DEN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DET 110, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%