NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	4.4 [919]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +14.9%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	1.0 [955]		LVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): -10.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.00	0.06	36	67%	0.20	4	-0.06	13	85%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	17	56%	0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	2	67%	0.03	5	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.00	-0.06	14	59%	0.13	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	44%	-0.01	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	13	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	27.0	15.5	23.4	1.7	27.4	121.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.1%

DET +5.1%

DET +9.7%

DET +8.4%

DET +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	12.5	16.2	15.5	108.9	83.0	100.9
season	14.3	16.4		97.9	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	11.3	13.0	14.1	11.6	12.5
CHI	16.2	16.5	14.7	17.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.59	39	-12	51	11.9	14.5	-2.62	16.8	14.1	2.69
Jerry Stackhouse	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.46	34	-7	41	12.1	15.6	-3.49	16.2	15.6	0.67
Chucky Atkins	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	13	1	13.1	10.8	2.21	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Billy Owens	54	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.54	32	-5	37	11.9	13.3	-1.40	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Joe Smith	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.43	28	-1	29	12.2	12.9	-0.68	16.6	15.5	1.11
Corliss Williamson	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	26	-25	12.9	12.1	0.78	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Mateen Cleaves	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.21	9	18	-9	11.8	13.2	-1.36	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Kornel David	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	4.0	12.7	-8.68	32.0	16.0	15.99
Dana Barros	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	31	-35	14.5	12.1	2.37	13.3	16.7	-3.42
Jud Buechler	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	34	-41	16.4	12.0	4.44	17.5	16.0	1.48
Mikki Moore	25	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.30	-12	39	-51	14.5	11.9	2.62	14.1	16.8	-2.69

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-25	23	14.5	16.8	-2.31	12.5	12.5	-0.03
Dalibor Bagaric	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	17.6	16.1	1.51	7.8	12.8	-4.97
Steve Goodrich	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-21	15	18.7	15.7	3.02	11.7	12.6	-0.90
Marcus Fizer	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-24	21	17.1	15.4	1.64	12.6	12.4	0.13
Corey Benjamin	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-24	21	13.4	17.0	-3.62	13.5	12.2	1.35
Jamal Crawford	77	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-11	-5	15.5	18.3	-2.83	12.2	13.7	-1.54
A.J. Guyton	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.28	-18	-9	-9	17.1	14.8	2.33	12.1	13.1	-1.04
Metta World Peace	34	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-9	-9	15.6	16.4	-0.79	12.9	12.3	0.54
Brad Miller	51	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	-6	-15	15.7	16.7	-0.95	13.2	11.8	1.34
Fred Hoiberg	90	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	-7	-13	16.6	12.2	4.41	12.8	10.2	2.56
Elton Brand	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	-4	-19	16.5	15.4	1.10	12.4	12.8	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NJN 94, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAC 116, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%