NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	3.9 [1045]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +16.8%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.0 [666]		LVP	Steve Francis (NYK): -9.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.02	0.02	11	96%	0.19	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	15	71%	0.20	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.01	0.06	20	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	4	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	15	27%	-0.05	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.01	0.08	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
David Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	11	69%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	9	20%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	47%	0.00	4	-0.09	14	64%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	0.11	12	55%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	34.5	17.3	32.5	3.8	36.2	153.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.8%

NJN +2.1%

NYK -7.2%

NJN +13.4%

NJN +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.6	101.1	98.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.7		102.1	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.5	16.9	16.0	18.2	16.4
NYK	14.9	15.9	16.7	12.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	83	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-7	18	16.2	17.8	-1.61	14.7	16.7	-2.00
Jason Kidd	77	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-2	8	15.7	19.7	-4.01	14.6	16.4	-1.76
Nenad Krstic	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	16.6	15.8	0.77	15.2	14.0	1.12
Vince Carter	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-2	8	16.1	17.8	-1.71	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Clifford Robinson	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	2	0	15.8	16.8	-1.09	15.2	14.7	0.54
Jason Collins	60	58	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	2	0	16.2	16.6	-0.37	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Lamond Murray	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	1	2	0.0	16.5	-16.54	16.0	14.9	1.09
Jacque Vaughn	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	8	-12	18.6	16.0	2.60	17.6	14.4	3.13
Antoine Wright	28	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	11	-18	17.9	15.7	2.13	15.3	14.8	0.48
Scott Padgett	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	8	-12	20.4	15.7	4.67	16.7	14.6	2.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	21	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	16.2	14.5	1.65	17.1	16.1	1.01
David Lee	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-15	26	8.2	15.3	-7.11	17.6	16.3	1.30
Maurice Taylor	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	3	-10	15.7	14.5	1.28	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Jalen Rose	55	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.61	15	-19	34	14.7	15.3	-0.63	16.5	16.2	0.29
Jamal Crawford	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	6	-16	17.0	14.1	2.92	15.3	16.7	-1.43
Steve Francis	59	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	14.6	15.5	-0.89	16.9	15.2	1.77
Stephon Marbury	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-7	10	14.2	17.2	-3.01	16.2	17.0	-0.76
Channing Frye	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	9	-22	15.4	14.4	0.98	16.5	16.2	0.23
Quentin Richardson	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	18	-40	15.5	13.4	2.10	15.7	18.0	-2.25
Eddy Curry	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-4	4	14.2	17.7	-3.49	16.6	15.4	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 116, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 110, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NYK 113, BKN 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%