NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	6.6 [497]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +23.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.4 [470]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -24.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.11	0.01	10	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.09	-0.04	12	64%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.10	0.02	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	13	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.12	0.11	-0.23	-0.00	20	66%	0.03	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	10	18%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	14	62%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	91%	0.23	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	21	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.4	15.4	24.5	1.7	36.0	129.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.9%

CLE +5.5%

CHI -15.2%

CLE +17.2%

CLE +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.5	15.1	105.7	110.2	105.2
season	16.3	15.2		101.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	17.0	15.8	15.2	16.3
CLE	14.3	15.7	16.2	20.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	20	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-9	14	17.3	16.0	1.33	19.6	15.5	4.09
Mike Dunleavy	39	40	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-10	16	17.0	15.7	1.26	17.3	15.8	1.50
Nazr Mohammed	8	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-7	10	17.6	16.1	1.49	18.1	16.3	1.85
Taj Gibson	41	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-14	24	16.4	16.1	0.31	17.9	15.1	2.75
Carlos Boozer	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	7	-18	16.3	16.2	0.17	14.6	19.9	-5.32
Luol Deng	71	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-3	2	16.3	16.1	0.19	16.2	17.4	-1.20
Kirk Hinrich	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	5	-14	16.0	17.3	-1.33	15.5	19.6	-4.09
Joakim Noah	69	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	6	-16	16.1	17.0	-0.93	16.9	15.0	1.97
Tony Snell	67	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	9	-22	15.7	18.0	-2.33	16.2	17.2	-0.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	67	68	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.49	18	-14	32	16.1	17.7	-1.59	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Alonzo Gee	66	68	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-16	36	16.0	17.9	-1.94	16.2	16.4	-0.23
Kyrie Irving	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-3	10	16.8	15.2	1.59	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Andrew Bynum	56	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-5	14	16.4	16.5	-0.07	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Dion Waiters	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.57	-9	13	-22	17.2	15.6	1.58	16.4	16.2	0.20
CJ Miles	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-6	16	16.2	16.6	-0.44	16.3	16.2	0.09
Matthew Dellavedova	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	12.6	16.8	-4.22	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Anthony Bennett	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	8	-12	14.4	16.8	-2.39	19.0	15.9	3.08
Jarrett Jack	45	42	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.02	-12	16	-28	16.7	16.2	0.43	16.6	15.9	0.71
Anderson Varejao	42	40	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.00	-15	19	-34	17.6	15.4	2.27	16.3	16.2	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	92.8%
IND 102, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	92.4%
NOK 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.71,0.73,0.55,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	92.3%