NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	6.5 [486]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +34.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.1 [1077]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -21.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	15	72%	0.18	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	8	42%	-0.08	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.11	0.06	21	45%	-0.12	3	-0.09	13	69%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.27	0.09	0.02	18	77%	0.41	2	-0.07	16	87%	0.04
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	7	65%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	44%	0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	16	51%	0.04	5	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	30.9	15.8	28.3	2.8	35.2	142.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +56.7%

OKC +0.3%

IND -8.8%

OKC +0.3%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	15.3	99.0	102.9	106.0
season	14.2	15.0		102.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	14.3	15.1	14.1	13.9
OKC	14.3	14.5	13.7	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	12.5	14.1	-1.62	16.6	13.4	3.21
A.J. Price	50	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-14	22	14.2	13.7	0.52	14.1	13.4	0.71
Mike Dunleavy	56	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-16	26	13.7	14.2	-0.56	13.9	13.5	0.42
Brandon Rush	56	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-16	26	13.7	14.2	-0.56	13.9	13.5	0.42
Solomon Jones	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-3	0	14.3	13.6	0.71	13.8	13.8	0.02
Roy Hibbert	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	5	-16	13.6	14.1	-0.54	14.8	13.3	1.56
Luther Head	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	10	-26	14.2	13.7	0.56	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Earl Watson	53	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	8	-22	13.7	14.2	-0.52	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Troy Murphy	83	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.0	13.7	0.29	13.2	15.8	-2.56
Danny Granger	79	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	3	-12	14.2	13.1	1.11	13.3	15.3	-1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	85	83	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-7	20	12.9	17.3	-4.43	14.1	13.3	0.72
Jeff Green	86	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-5	16	13.5	14.8	-1.32	14.2	12.9	1.21
Thabo Sefolosha	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-2	10	13.4	15.4	-2.02	14.1	13.0	1.09
Russell Westbrook	80	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-7	20	13.6	14.2	-0.63	14.2	13.0	1.24
Nenad Krstic	30	29	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-2	10	13.5	13.9	-0.32	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Byron Mullens	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	14.5	13.6	0.85	15.4	13.7	1.65
James Harden	58	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	15	-24	14.3	13.0	1.30	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Eric Maynor	27	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	11	-16	14.2	13.6	0.57	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Nick Collison	49	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	13	-20	15.0	12.6	2.40	13.9	13.9	0.01
Serge Ibaka	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	16.1	13.5	2.60	11.8	14.2	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.97,1	93.6%
GSW 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
NJN 82, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.91,1	92.7%