inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 112 Excitement12.7 [18] MVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): +74.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 113 Comeback17.0 [104] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -39.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.430,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.430.160.290.011572%0.471-0.03683%0.02
Stephen Curry0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.110.032658%0.263-0.10367%-0.02
Andrew Bogut0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01874%0.154-0.09367%-0.02
Draymond Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.03570%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Nemanja Nedovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00542%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Marreese Speights-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.00425%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.08-0.140.031936%-0.181-0.07757%-0.05
David Lee-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.28,-0.28-0.12-0.16-0.001231%-0.162-0.12875%-0.17

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.740.740.090.690.032552%0.811-0.071580%0.05
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.080.080.020.06-0.001160%0.243-0.16875%0.07
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01267%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.03-0.00757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01558%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.011038%-0.0400.001100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.4-0.40-0.08-0.290.032245%-0.294-0.111292%0.14
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.430.515.529.52.332.31.620.9160.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -23.3%
OKC +51.8%
OKC +16.2%
OKC +7.1%
GSW -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWOKCNBAGSWOKCNBA
this game15.013.615.1100.9101.8105.2
season14.214.4105.9107.8
opponent15.415.3102.9102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW16.615.614.115.212.215.0
OKC12.213.812.514.816.613.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut63660.32-0.821.140.233-4715.714.21.4813.713.50.22
Klay Thompson91920.31-0.811.130.088-91715.015.1-0.0913.414.5-1.09
Stephen Curry92940.19-0.690.89-0.017-81515.413.22.1913.713.00.73
Nemanja Nedovic2524-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-21-314.615.2-0.6013.113.8-0.69
David Lee8888-0.22-0.280.06-0.427-81514.716.1-1.3413.812.90.95
Marreese Speights1819-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-65-1115.215.00.2312.213.9-1.77
Harrison Barnes8687-0.670.17-0.83-0.49-65-1115.314.21.0213.514.1-0.64
Jermaine O'Neal5047-0.690.19-0.87-0.54-54-914.815.2-0.4114.113.30.84
Draymond Green3128-0.940.44-1.38-0.64-109-1914.515.2-0.8013.013.8-0.78

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka99970.63-0.130.750.427-61313.316.0-2.6715.114.20.93
Jeremy Lamb56580.62-0.120.750.514-3714.512.81.7013.916.2-2.30
Kevin Durant91910.51-0.010.530.4910113.513.9-0.4015.214.01.19
Russell Westbrook89890.480.020.450.4510113.215.2-1.9514.816.0-1.21
Thabo Sefolosha68680.400.100.300.52-45-913.713.50.2615.015.1-0.15
Nick Collison35350.100.40-0.310.013-2513.913.50.4715.314.90.34
Kendrick Perkins27250.090.41-0.33-0.034-3711.614.3-2.6317.214.42.86
Reggie Jackson51500.060.44-0.39-0.095-4913.513.7-0.2415.414.70.72
Derek Fisher1011-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-34-717.113.33.8214.515.1-0.53
Steven Adams2931-0.290.79-1.080.09-1314-2714.713.31.4014.415.3-0.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 107, GSW 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,188.4%
DAL 100, MIA 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.27,187.8%
NYK 98, ATL 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,187.7%