NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	12.6 [13]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +23.6%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	3.2 [550]		LVP	Derrick Rose (NYK): -73.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	8	70%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Justin Holiday	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	-0.01	0.16	-0.02	12	54%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	17	56%	0.35	5	-0.24	9	67%	-0.18
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.74	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.43,-0.43,-0.74	-0.10	-0.65	-0.01	28	40%	-0.46	2	-0.28	9	89%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.16	-0.04	10	59%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.01	9	67%	0.23	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.11	0.00	7	61%	0.18	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.06
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.13	-0.01	21	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.09	0.01	20	27%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	0.00	12	42%	-0.13	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	34.3	15.4	28.6	1.6	31.2	2.4	24.5	164.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -13.7%

ATL +13.8%

ATL +19.6%

ATL +22.6%

ATL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	14.8	92.5	98.1	107.7
season	15.0	14.4		106.6	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	16.9	13.9	16.5	16.3	12.1	15.4
ATL	13.7	14.4	16.2	16.4	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-3	2	16.5	15.1	1.43	16.2	14.5	1.67
Kyle O'Quinn	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-6	8	15.4	15.4	-0.04	15.1	14.8	0.33
Carmelo Anthony	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	17.3	14.7	2.66	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Joakim Noah	77	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	15.4	15.4	0.05	15.1	14.3	0.79
Derrick Rose	84	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-10	16	15.6	14.8	0.75	15.0	14.5	0.49
Willy Hernangomez	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-3	2	16.9	15.1	1.87	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	15.5	15.4	0.09	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Sasha Vujacic	56	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	4	-12	15.8	15.0	0.86	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Kristaps Porzingis	85	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	15.1	16.8	-1.68	14.9	14.6	0.37
Justin Holiday	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	-1	-2	14.5	17.2	-2.69	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Brandon Jennings	57	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	14.2	16.8	-2.57	14.9	14.9	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	76	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-7	18	14.8	15.0	-0.14	15.6	14.8	0.75
Paul Millsap	77	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-3	10	15.0	14.4	0.62	15.4	15.4	0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	5	-6	15.1	14.6	0.48	16.7	13.8	2.96
Kris Humphries	24	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-1	6	14.6	14.9	-0.37	15.5	15.4	0.08
Kent Bazemore	66	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	0	4	15.2	14.3	0.91	15.7	14.9	0.85
Tim Hardaway Jr.	31	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	5	-6	13.5	15.5	-1.97	13.3	16.2	-2.85
Malcolm Delaney	21	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	14.0	15.1	-1.02	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Kyle Korver	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.16	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Dwight Howard	73	78	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.6	13.1	2.47	15.9	14.0	1.92
Mike Muscala	30	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	10	-16	14.8	14.9	-0.14	14.8	15.6	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.67,0.83,1	90.6%
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	90.3%
CLE 100, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.97,1,1	90.1%