NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	6.2 [589]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +7.5%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.8 [758]		LVP	Caron Butler (MIL): -20.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.02	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Nate Wolters	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	12	35%	-0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	9	70%	0.15	7	-0.35	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	7	71%	0.21	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.07	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	16	50%	-0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	3	117%	0.05	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.04	-0.18	0.03	12	64%	-0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	34.2	16.4	28.4	3.5	31.6	142.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -1.6%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +27.8%

NYK +17.1%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	87.4	95.7	105.2
season	15.7	16.0		101.4	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.6	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	15.6	16.6	15.3	15.7
NYK	13.9	13.1	16.9	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	34	34	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.20	2	-9	11	15.1	16.1	-0.92	16.0	14.0	1.98
Khris Middleton	39	39	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-5	3	14.2	16.8	-2.55	15.5	14.2	1.37
Brandon Knight	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-5	3	17.2	15.7	1.58	15.2	14.7	0.54
Giannis Antetokounmpo	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	10.8	16.4	-5.61	13.0	15.0	-1.99
Ersan Ilyasova	41	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-9	11	15.8	15.7	0.12	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Larry Sanders	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	1	-9	19.2	14.7	4.54	15.0	14.6	0.35
Gary Neal	66	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.6	18.4	-3.80	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Nate Wolters	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	16.6	14.6	2.01	15.1	14.2	0.83
O.J. Mayo	69	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	3	-13	16.9	12.7	4.24	14.2	16.1	-1.83
Zaza Pachulia	69	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	-4	1	14.7	18.4	-3.70	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Caron Butler	64	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	1	-9	16.9	13.4	3.44	14.7	14.9	-0.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-11	29	14.8	14.4	0.45	16.5	13.4	3.09
Carmelo Anthony	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	3	1	15.0	13.7	1.37	16.0	14.7	1.31
Tyson Chandler	60	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-11	29	14.2	15.7	-1.57	16.9	13.4	3.47
Raymond Felton	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	14.2	16.0	-1.75	16.8	13.1	3.73
Iman Shumpert	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	14.6	15.0	-0.44	16.9	13.3	3.68
Kenyon Martin	12	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	1	5	13.1	15.0	-1.89	13.0	16.1	-3.10
Tim Hardaway Jr.	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	15.2	14.5	0.69	13.2	17.0	-3.89
Andrea Bargnani	35	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	18	-29	15.7	14.2	1.52	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Beno Udrih	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	18	-29	14.4	14.8	-0.45	13.4	16.5	-3.09
Metta World Peace	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	15.5	14.3	1.24	13.8	16.9	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.82,1	92.0%
DEN 104, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.45,0.58,1	91.5%
CHA 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.99,1	91.4%