NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	7.0 [450]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +6.4%
Houston Rockets	81		Comeback	1.9 [755]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -26.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.10	-0.04	-0.00	17	66%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Joel Przybilla	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	4	28%	-0.11	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.07

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	18	56%	0.17	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.05
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	5	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.08
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	15	47%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	19	37%	-0.19	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	37.0	15.7	25.0	2.4	45.2	151.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -7.1%

HOU +5.3%

HOU +24.2%

HOU +19.7%

HOU +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.5	88.9	90.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.0		101.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	19.0	16.3	15.0	16.3
HOU	14.1	17.0	16.5	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-3	5	17.8	15.8	1.96	16.4	15.5	0.86
Derek Anderson	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-8	15	14.7	16.8	-2.13	16.1	15.6	0.50
Joel Przybilla	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-5	9	15.4	18.6	-3.14	14.8	18.2	-3.46
Ruben Patterson	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	16.1	16.5	-0.33	16.2	15.1	1.03
Nick Van Exel	61	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	3	-7	16.0	16.8	-0.74	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Zach Randolph	55	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-1	1	17.3	14.7	2.58	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Theo Ratliff	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	3	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.5	14.9	1.64
Darius Miles	54	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-3	5	16.8	15.6	1.22	16.2	14.9	1.30
Damon Stoudamire	76	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	1	-3	16.4	15.8	0.60	15.4	17.2	-1.88

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	-1	3	15.4	18.1	-2.71	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Juwan Howard	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.51	-1	2	-3	15.3	17.0	-1.71	16.4	15.9	0.50
Yao Ming	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	-2	5	15.7	15.7	-0.04	15.9	17.4	-1.42
Bob Sura	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	-2	5	15.7	15.8	-0.07	16.2	16.6	-0.49
David Wesley	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	5	-9	15.2	16.7	-1.49	15.6	17.7	-2.02
Jon Barry	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	-4	9	16.2	15.4	0.79	16.8	16.0	0.76
Scott Padgett	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	-1	3	17.0	15.3	1.71	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Dikembe Mutombo	23	22	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	3	-5	15.7	15.7	0.04	17.4	15.9	1.42
Rod Strickland	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	3	-5	16.4	15.5	0.86	17.8	15.8	1.96
Ryan Bowen	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	18.1	15.4	2.71	17.2	16.2	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 108, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.95,1	92.6%
MIA 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.82,1	92.5%
MIL 90, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,1	92.4%