NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	6.8 [474]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): +15.1%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.7 [1024]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -14.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	25	63%	0.19	5	-0.10	13	100%	0.07
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.05	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15	0.02	-0.13	0.03	22	51%	-0.07	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	14	63%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	59%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	58%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	26	46%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.0	32.1	16.4	25.6	3.3	36.5	142.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +55.2%

OKC -19.6%

OKC -3.8%

GSW +17.7%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	GSW	NBA	OKC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	14.9	104.9	112.6	105.1
season	14.4	13.7		111.5	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	14.0	11.9	13.1	13.4
GSW	13.0	14.8	15.8	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-6	4	13.4	13.4	-0.05	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Anthony Morrow	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.0	13.2	0.82	13.8	14.9	-1.06
Enes Kanter	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-7	6	13.7	13.2	0.56	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Kyle Singler	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.0	1.63	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Dion Waiters	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-9	10	13.1	14.4	-1.26	15.1	12.9	2.21
Kevin Durant	88	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	13.0	16.0	-3.03	14.6	14.1	0.57
Steven Adams	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	4	-16	13.5	13.2	0.33	14.7	14.2	0.56
Russell Westbrook	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	13.4	13.4	-0.03	14.8	13.8	0.94
Serge Ibaka	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-3	-2	13.3	13.6	-0.25	15.0	13.3	1.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	65	64	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.28	14	-6	20	14.2	15.1	-0.87	12.8	14.5	-1.70
Marreese Speights	37	35	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-12	32	13.6	15.1	-1.54	14.2	13.0	1.24
Draymond Green	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	-1	10	14.8	13.8	1.05	13.1	14.2	-1.05
Stephen Curry	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	14.9	13.2	1.74	12.9	15.3	-2.37
Klay Thompson	71	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	6	-4	14.8	13.9	0.94	13.8	12.5	1.23
Leandro Barbosa	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	2	4	13.9	14.8	-0.94	12.5	13.8	-1.23
Harrison Barnes	74	78	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	15	-22	14.9	13.7	1.25	13.7	12.6	1.07
Shaun Livingston	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	4	0	13.8	14.9	-1.04	15.1	12.6	2.45
Brandon Rush	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	20.5	14.4	6.06	4.5	13.6	-9.08
Andrew Bogut	43	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	19	-30	14.4	14.7	-0.31	13.8	13.1	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	93.2%
POR 80, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.82,1	92.6%
PHX 101, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.4%