NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	7.5 [290]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +29.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.8 [936]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -7.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.3	-0.01	0.30	-0.01	12	44%	0.32	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17	0.14	0.06	0.03	20	64%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	12	61%	0.14	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0	0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,0.28	0.28	-0.11	0.39	-0.00	9	22%	0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	12	73%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.02	11	65%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	14	58%	0.18	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	27	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.7	34.8	20.7	29.6	4.4	34.1	156.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.3%

PHX -3.7%

LAL +21.1%

LAL +14.7%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	17.3	15.3	111.0	114.4	106.0
season	14.4	15.7		113.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.8	14.5	14.0	12.9	14.5
LAL	17.5	14.3	18.1	19.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	3	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	19.0	14.4	4.65	2.3	17.9	-15.52
Leandro Barbosa	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-1	0	13.5	15.0	-1.45	18.4	16.8	1.59
Jared Dudley	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-4	6	14.4	14.6	-0.21	18.4	16.6	1.87
Robin Lopez	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	2	-6	16.4	13.9	2.50	18.1	17.1	1.05
Channing Frye	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.46	10	-12	22	13.3	16.7	-3.46	18.2	15.7	2.48
Goran Dragic	25	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	13.7	14.8	-1.08	17.2	17.4	-0.23
Steve Nash	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.8	13.7	1.08	17.4	17.2	0.23
Lou Amundson	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	5	-12	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.9	17.9	-2.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-5	8	14.8	13.7	1.08	17.7	16.4	1.29
Jason Richardson	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.0	13.5	1.45	16.8	18.4	-1.59
Grant Hill	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	4	-10	14.6	14.3	0.25	16.5	18.9	-2.40

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	70	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	17.0	18.3	-1.31	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Kobe Bryant	78	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	17.8	14.6	3.17	14.6	13.6	1.02
Pau Gasol	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	9	-16	17.8	14.9	2.93	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Derek Fisher	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	5	-8	17.4	17.2	0.23	14.6	14.2	0.40
Metta World Peace	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.38	-4	6	-10	17.6	16.7	0.90	14.6	14.3	0.37
Sasha Vujacic	22	22	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	-4	10	17.1	17.4	-0.26	15.0	14.4	0.59
Jordan Farmar	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-5	12	17.2	17.4	-0.23	13.7	14.8	-1.08
Andrew Bynum	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.9	17.6	-0.68	15.7	13.8	1.87
Luke Walton	6	7	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	1	0	13.2	17.6	-4.46	17.7	14.2	3.48
Shannon Brown	15	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	15.9	17.6	-1.76	11.7	15.0	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.71,0.86,0.96,1	93.4%
DAL 94, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.94,1,1	93.2%
SEA 84, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.72,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	92.4%