NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	84		Excitement	6.1 [571]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +5.6%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	1.8 [709]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -15.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	19	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	17	62%	0.07	5	-0.19	13	85%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	17	51%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	24	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	20	38%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.7	27.8	15.7	25.3	0.8	40.5	136.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +11.9%

NOH +4.0%

NOH +30.4%

NOH +1.7%

NOH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NOH	NBA	SEA	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.5	96.6	97.7	101.6
season	16.5	15.9		101.7	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	15.1	20.3	14.9	16.3
NOH	15.0	14.3	16.7	21.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.08	3	-5	8	14.1	16.8	-2.72	18.2	16.2	2.07
Predrag Drobnjak	40	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-3	4	18.4	14.6	3.90	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Ansu Sesay	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	5	-12	20.0	15.8	4.18	16.2	16.6	-0.46
Jerome James	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	4	-10	16.1	16.4	-0.28	12.2	17.1	-4.93
Kenny Anderson	11	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	7	-16	16.6	16.3	0.33	12.7	17.2	-4.42
Vladimir Radmanovic	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.54	10	-12	22	15.9	17.7	-1.76	17.0	15.1	1.90
Brent Barry	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	15.7	19.1	-3.37	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Gary Payton	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	16.7	14.1	2.62	17.3	11.9	5.39
Desmond Mason	59	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.7	17.7	-1.97	16.1	17.5	-1.31
Rashard Lewis	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.51	-1	-1	0	16.3	16.9	-0.65	16.8	15.2	1.53

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	81	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	16.9	12.6	4.34	16.1	19.2	-3.20
Baron Davis	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	16.7	15.2	1.45	16.5	14.7	1.76
David Wesley	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	4	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.11	15.9	17.9	-2.08
Jamaal Magloire	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	0	2	17.4	15.1	2.27	17.1	14.8	2.33
George Lynch	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	-4	10	16.7	16.2	0.50	17.8	13.8	4.01
Courtney Alexander	41	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-3	8	16.0	17.0	-1.02	16.0	16.6	-0.58
Robert Traylor	13	14	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-7	16	12.2	17.3	-5.18	16.9	16.2	0.61
Jerome Moiso	11	12	0.04	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	0	2	12.0	17.2	-5.22	17.8	16.1	1.73
P.J. Brown	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.40	-16	18	-34	17.7	15.9	1.81	13.3	18.1	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.72,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	93.8%
TOR 98, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.82,0.8,0.94,0.99,1,1	93.2%
PHX 95, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	93.1%