NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	5.3 [771]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +18.6%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	1.5 [907]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -13.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	81%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12	0.16	-0.00	0.04	14	74%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	16	67%	0.19	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	73%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.05	0.03	10	67%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	25.3	16.4	26.7	2.3	35.6	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +19.6%

NOH +0.2%

NOH +11.1%

NOH +14.4%

NOH +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	14.4	16.7	15.5	104.4	106.4	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		108.0	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	16.0	13.9	14.2	14.4
NOH	15.0	17.5	16.1	18.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	18	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.6	13.6	3.91	21.2	15.7	5.56
Josh Childress	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-6	7	14.6	14.3	0.32	19.9	15.3	4.52
Robin Lopez	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.3	0.49	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Hakim Warrick	33	36	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	3	-11	15.1	14.0	1.10	14.6	18.0	-3.40
Aaron Brooks	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	15.7	13.9	1.84	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Jared Dudley	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-9	13	14.4	14.4	-0.05	17.1	15.8	1.34
Steve Nash	67	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-5	5	13.6	16.6	-3.00	16.4	17.5	-1.04
Grant Hill	60	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.57	16.0	18.2	-2.23
Marcin Gortat	66	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	14.6	14.0	0.58	17.2	15.4	1.79
Vince Carter	70	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	13.7	17.0	-3.30	15.7	20.1	-4.46

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	80	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	16.2	19.3	-3.06	14.6	13.1	1.51
Chris Paul	74	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-3	11	15.7	20.2	-4.47	13.9	16.1	-2.16
Emeka Okafor	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	5	-5	17.4	14.4	2.97	14.4	14.4	0.02
Carl Landry	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-3	11	17.5	16.3	1.29	14.9	14.1	0.79
David West	63	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	8	-11	16.3	17.5	-1.29	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Marco Belinelli	21	18	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	-4	13	13.2	17.7	-4.49	16.2	14.0	2.25
Quincy Pondexter	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	3	-1	19.5	15.8	3.74	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Aaron Gray	19	17	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	1	3	16.5	16.7	-0.19	16.0	14.1	1.95
Willie Green	65	65	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.42	-11	16	-27	17.4	15.1	2.33	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Jarrett Jack	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	17.7	16.4	1.34	14.7	14.3	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 98, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1	94.1%
SAS 118, NYK 130	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%