NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	118		Excitement	4.8 [877]		MVP	Damyean Dotson (NYK): +15.0%
New York Knicks	130		Comeback	1.4 [262]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -10.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	-0.00	0.03	22	59%	0.12	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	7	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	78%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.03	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chimezie Metu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.00	0.12	12	52%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	14	27%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.22	0.00	0.07	17	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.01	10	95%	0.21	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	18	49%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	39%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	71%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.6	15.3	27.5	2.7	35.8	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +45.2%

SAS -8.4%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +3.1%

NYK +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.3	119.2	131.3	109.3
season	14.8	14.5		111.7	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.4		112.5	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.1	15.0	16.1	12.6	14.4
NYK	13.6	14.4	15.2	15.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	19	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-21	30	14.2	14.5	-0.33	16.2	14.2	1.99
Chimezie Metu	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.7	14.6	-3.83	10.2	14.9	-4.60
Pau Gasol	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	14.6	14.4	0.18	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Rudy Gay	52	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-16	20	14.7	14.1	0.65	15.4	13.8	1.53
Dante Cunningham	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-13	14	13.9	14.6	-0.75	15.4	14.3	1.10
Jakob Poeltl	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-7	2	15.2	13.9	1.29	15.1	14.4	0.76
Marco Belinelli	51	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-2	-8	14.5	14.3	0.18	14.6	14.8	-0.19
LaMarcus Aldridge	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-2	-8	14.0	14.7	-0.72	14.8	14.5	0.27
Patty Mills	70	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	14.5	14.3	0.11	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Bryn Forbes	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	14.1	14.9	-0.88	14.7	14.5	0.20
Davis Bertans	51	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	4	-20	14.6	14.2	0.46	13.8	15.5	-1.64
DeMar DeRozan	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	5	-22	14.5	14.2	0.35	14.5	15.1	-0.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	75	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-2	16	14.1	16.3	-2.14	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Allonzo Trier	57	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	5	2	15.4	13.7	1.65	14.6	14.2	0.42
Kevin Knox	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	2	8	14.7	14.7	0.00	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Lance Thomas	62	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	1	10	13.8	16.1	-2.30	14.6	14.2	0.39
Dennis Smith Jr.	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	2	8	14.0	15.8	-1.87	14.4	14.4	0.06
Mitchell Robinson	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	5	2	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.5	14.3	0.26
Noah Vonleh	37	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	7	-2	14.4	14.9	-0.50	14.3	14.5	-0.26
Emmanuel Mudiay	40	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	12	-12	15.8	13.9	1.99	14.1	14.6	-0.47
John Jenkins	24	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	14	-16	16.3	14.1	2.14	14.5	14.4	0.10
Henry Ellenson	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	14	-16	16.0	14.6	1.43	15.6	14.3	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, SEA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	95.6%
MEM 92, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 80, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%