inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 92 Excitement3.1 [1184] MVPJeff Teague (ATL): +12.2%
Atlanta Hawks 103 Comeback1.1 [636] LVPTayshaun Prince (MEM): -11.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.06975%0.041-0.002100%-0.00
Mike Conley0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.041263%0.052-0.033100%0.02
Zach Randolph0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.070.000.071854%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Ed Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Wroten-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00550%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02650%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Austin Daye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.021341%-0.031-0.03875%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.110,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.020.04930%-0.1100.0020%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.010.011085%0.163-0.036100%0.01
John Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.00-0.04950%0.0700.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.011359%0.091-0.03667%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.03875%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02462%0.031-0.02580%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.010.041361%0.052-0.05250%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02944%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ivan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.05543%0.033-0.06450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.02.331.315.625.61.826.5123.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +56.8%
ATL +0.1%
ATL +0.4%
MEM -7.6%
ATL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game16.115.215.4100.0112.0104.1
season16.515.1102.9102.6
opponent15.515.5102.899.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM18.316.714.715.016.1
ATL16.810.615.319.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer010.00-0.500.50-0.062-13150.016.1-16.1412.015.2-3.20
Ed Davis2122-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-151911.317.6-6.2915.215.10.08
Tony Wroten1819-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-141711.617.2-5.6316.514.81.65
Chris Johnson1213-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-10916.216.10.1211.215.8-4.58
Austin Daye3132-0.13-0.370.23-0.05-3-8513.917.3-3.3314.215.7-1.54
Darrell Arthur3433-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-7313.917.5-3.5814.915.3-0.44
Jerryd Bayless5149-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-7314.518.2-3.7915.814.51.27
Tayshaun Prince5353-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-1-917.714.13.5815.914.21.71
Tony Allen5050-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-10-1-917.914.13.7614.316.1-1.80
Mike Conley6160-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-8-3-517.313.93.3315.714.21.54
Zach Randolph6766-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.09-10-1-917.013.73.3215.115.3-0.20
Marc Gasol6262-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.05-143-1718.012.25.8515.414.70.74

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith78770.53-0.030.560.0616-52115.413.91.4616.613.63.04
Kyle Korver68650.52-0.020.54-0.0118-72515.015.7-0.7417.612.64.97
Jeff Teague66630.460.040.420.0215-41914.915.8-0.9017.712.74.99
Al Horford66660.360.140.22-0.0514-31715.614.01.6717.113.63.52
John Jenkins48500.240.26-0.010.1638-513.017.5-4.5714.817.7-2.94
Anthony Tolliver51510.230.27-0.05-0.0183516.813.13.7317.015.11.88
Ivan Johnson27280.060.44-0.370.27-718-2514.315.5-1.2813.017.5-4.57
Devin Harris33350.060.44-0.390.17-415-1916.414.51.9713.317.9-4.52
Johan Petro12120.040.46-0.410.01110-913.415.4-2.0114.816.3-1.50
Mike Scott1113-0.010.51-0.520.25-920-2915.615.10.5410.717.0-6.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,197.4%
MIL 88, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
SAC 85, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%