inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 88 Excitement3.3 [1145] MVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): +14.2%
Utah Jazz 101 Comeback1.1 [1155] LVPAndrew Bogut (MIL): -6.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.00-0.041551%0.082-0.04580%0.01
Brian Skinner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris McCray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damir Markota-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.03950%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson-0.020,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.00850%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0220%-0.00
Steve Blake-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02633%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
David Noel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.03450%-0.011-0.02683%-0.01
Mo Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.031020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.10-0.030.121661%-0.012-0.05650%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02837%-0.003-0.0600%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.02-0.036117%0.163-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.00-0.04564%0.061-0.00475%0.01
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00-0.04654%0.051-0.0010%-0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.010.091865%0.093-0.051060%-0.02
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.06250%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021647%0.042-0.024100%0.01
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.001042%-0.011-0.02683%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00937%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.831.014.827.01.831.0130.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +31.1%
UTA +7.1%
UTA +0.2%
UTA +10.7%
UTA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILUTANBAMILUTANBA
this game15.915.915.497.8111.0104.5
season15.215.9105.3107.4
opponent15.015.5104.9109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.215.217.916.315.9
UTA17.116.113.417.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damir Markota77-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-161913.916.1-2.2018.115.72.39
Chris McCray77-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-161913.916.1-2.2018.115.72.39
Ersan Ilyasova2931-0.08-0.420.35-0.101-141516.815.51.2815.616.1-0.49
Dan Gadzuric2224-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-121115.915.90.0317.515.42.13
Mo Williams3937-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-5-316.915.11.7316.115.80.34
David Noel3839-0.18-0.320.15-0.325-182316.315.60.7417.215.02.22
Brian Skinner2727-0.19-0.310.11-0.221-141516.315.70.5818.614.83.83
Andrew Bogut5150-0.30-0.20-0.100.23-185-2315.716.2-0.4714.417.8-3.45
Ruben Patterson4443-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-1-1115.616.2-0.5415.016.7-1.68
Charlie Bell6867-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-130-1315.816.2-0.3915.816.4-0.66
Steve Blake5154-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-8315.116.9-1.7315.816.1-0.34
Michael Redd6769-0.510.01-0.520.11-218-2916.015.70.2615.218.4-3.20

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer75750.450.050.40-0.0216-31915.517.7-2.2016.413.52.83
Mehmet Okur65640.380.120.26-0.1819-62515.616.9-1.3316.015.70.22
Deron Williams64640.380.120.26-0.1518-52315.517.0-1.5716.215.11.09
Derek Fisher57590.370.130.24-0.2722-93115.217.1-1.9417.213.43.87
Andrei Kirilenko64640.310.190.12-0.2519-62515.018.2-3.2516.315.01.30
Paul Millsap42410.230.27-0.050.29-215-1716.415.50.8714.217.3-3.07
Matt Harpring22220.190.31-0.120.22-114-1518.315.23.1416.015.80.21
Dee Brown29280.140.36-0.230.28-518-2317.915.02.9314.516.5-2.07
Jarron Collins11100.050.45-0.390.14-316-1918.115.62.4515.815.9-0.10
Gordan Giricek16150.000.50-0.500.24-821-2916.815.71.0715.815.9-0.11
CJ Miles540.000.50-0.500.15-518-2317.815.81.979.016.2-7.21
Ronnie Brewer540.000.50-0.500.15-518-2317.815.81.979.016.2-7.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 92, ATL 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.3%
SAC 93, SEA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1,197.0%
MIL 85, WAS 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.9%