NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	6.3 [580]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +14.0%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	2.0 [990]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -8.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	17	53%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.06
RJ Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.07	5	125%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.08	0.07	-0.12	0.03	14	64%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	17	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.18,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	11	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	11	59%	0.10	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	25.7	14.8	28.9	2.0	43.0	138.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.5%

BOS -8.8%

SAS +12.4%

BOS -2.1%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAS	NBA	BOS	SAS	NBA
this game	13.0	16.5	14.9	108.2	110.2	105.1
season	13.9	15.7		104.5	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		97.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	15.4	12.4	12.2	13.0
SAS	15.3	18.0	17.6	15.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	63	65	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.51	18	-21	39	12.9	13.2	-0.38	17.4	14.9	2.44
RJ Hunter	29	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	12.8	13.1	-0.23	17.3	16.2	1.11
Jared Sullinger	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	13.2	12.7	0.49	16.2	17.0	-0.75
Tyler Zeller	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	7	-17	14.3	12.8	1.52	16.5	16.5	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	21	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	3	-9	12.8	13.1	-0.29	17.9	16.1	1.78
Isaiah Thomas	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.52	9	-12	21	12.7	13.8	-1.04	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Avery Bradley	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	12.7	13.9	-1.15	16.3	17.1	-0.78
Kelly Olynyk	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	9	-21	13.3	12.9	0.43	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Jae Crowder	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-2	1	13.1	12.6	0.55	16.2	17.5	-1.32
Evan Turner	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	6	-15	13.1	12.8	0.38	16.7	16.3	0.39

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	54	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-9	21	16.5	16.5	0.01	13.0	13.0	0.06
Boris Diaw	49	47	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.04	12	-9	21	17.3	15.7	1.63	12.3	13.6	-1.30
Tim Duncan	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	2	-1	15.6	17.6	-1.99	13.2	12.7	0.52
Patty Mills	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	-1	5	17.7	15.3	2.39	12.7	13.3	-0.56
Kawhi Leonard	71	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	5	-7	16.1	17.8	-1.72	13.0	13.0	0.04
David West	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	-3	9	17.2	16.2	1.01	12.9	13.0	-0.14
Tony Parker	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	9	-15	15.8	17.5	-1.65	13.5	12.3	1.21
Kyle Anderson	15	17	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-2	7	15.4	16.7	-1.33	12.9	13.0	-0.06
Danny Green	60	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	13	-23	16.6	16.5	0.09	12.5	13.9	-1.39
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	55	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	10	-17	16.9	16.1	0.74	13.7	12.1	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.71,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.94,1,1	94.8%
GSW 89, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.0%
SAS 84, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%