NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	4.4 [941]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +8.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	1.4 [420]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -13.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	73%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	13	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	21	47%	0.01	4	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	8	30%	-0.01	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	17	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	15	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.8	32.4	16.4	32.4	3.5	41.4	154.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +21.6%

MEM +4.5%

MEM +9.8%

MEM +10.5%

MEM +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	12.4	17.9	15.1	93.7	104.2	104.2
season	13.6	15.9		109.2	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		100.8	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	14.2	12.1	10.7	12.4
MEM	16.2	16.5	19.2	19.8	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	13.2	12.3	0.94	16.4	18.1	-1.76
Andrew Bogut	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	12.5	12.3	0.18	17.8	18.0	-0.25
Shaun Livingston	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-6	2	13.7	12.1	1.58	17.9	17.9	-0.04
Klay Thompson	73	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-15	20	12.3	12.7	-0.35	18.1	17.2	0.88
Festus Ezeli	16	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-1	-8	13.7	12.2	1.54	17.7	17.9	-0.26
Draymond Green	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	11.9	14.4	-2.44	18.5	15.3	3.18
Leandro Barbosa	22	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	5	-20	12.7	12.3	0.35	16.9	18.2	-1.35
Harrison Barnes	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-5	0	12.1	14.4	-2.28	17.9	17.9	0.06
Stephen Curry	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	12.1	13.7	-1.58	18.0	17.4	0.60
Andre Iguodala	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	12.9	11.8	1.15	17.6	18.3	-0.68

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	52	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.08	23	-13	36	17.5	18.4	-0.90	12.0	12.9	-0.86
Vince Carter	25	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	1	8	18.8	17.6	1.21	13.4	12.1	1.35
Beno Udrih	32	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	-2	14	17.0	18.4	-1.41	13.6	11.9	1.69
Kosta Koufos	27	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	2	6	18.6	17.6	1.01	13.4	12.0	1.39
Marc Gasol	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.30	-1	11	-12	18.3	16.8	1.45	12.7	11.6	1.11
Courtney Lee	65	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	17.1	19.7	-2.57	12.4	12.4	0.01
Zach Randolph	75	75	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	9	-8	17.6	19.0	-1.45	12.2	13.1	-0.94
Mike Conley	64	65	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	10	-10	18.1	17.5	0.67	11.9	13.6	-1.69
Tony Allen	65	66	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	18	-26	18.6	16.4	2.15	11.8	13.7	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 68, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
TOR 77, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%