NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	68		Excitement	3.8 [1025]		MVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): +5.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.2 [1169]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -21.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Trepagnier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	47%	0.00	3	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	12	15%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.03	-0.00	10	32%	-0.07	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	55%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	0.00	-0.05	30	38%	-0.10	4	-0.07	11	73%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	25.4	14.7	27.0	1.8	27.0	123.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.8%

PHI +6.4%

PHI +16.1%

CLE -0.5%

PHI +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.6	72.3	84.0	102.3
season	15.8	15.9		102.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		98.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	17.1	15.6	13.1	15.1
PHI	15.7	14.2	17.1	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	53	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-10	9	15.6	14.6	0.96	15.7	15.2	0.56
Jeff Trepagnier	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-11	11	13.0	16.0	-3.02	15.1	15.6	-0.57
Bimbo Coles	12	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	14.9	15.2	-0.27	16.7	15.3	1.35
Trajan Langdon	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	13.4	15.9	-2.56	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Brian Skinner	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-7	3	14.7	15.5	-0.74	15.0	15.9	-0.99
Andre Miller	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-6	1	16.2	13.6	2.64	15.5	15.5	-0.06
Wesley Person	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.3	13.5	2.80	16.3	14.2	2.10
Jumaine Jones	85	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-9	7	14.9	17.8	-2.91	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Chris Mihm	62	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	5	-21	15.8	13.9	1.93	16.1	14.4	1.73
Ricky Davis	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	4	-19	14.5	16.0	-1.48	14.6	16.5	-1.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	66	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-3	17	14.9	16.9	-2.05	15.3	14.9	0.42
Aaron McKie	78	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-4	19	15.7	14.4	1.34	15.6	12.6	3.03
Allen Iverson	80	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-4	19	15.1	17.9	-2.87	15.5	12.5	3.04
Dikembe Mutombo	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	0	11	15.7	14.9	0.82	16.2	12.1	4.13
Raja Bell	40	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	8	-5	16.4	14.8	1.54	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Corie Blount	18	18	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	2	7	16.2	15.3	0.91	15.2	15.1	0.02
Michael Ruffin	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	12	-13	15.4	15.5	-0.09	12.7	16.1	-3.43
Matt Harpring	78	80	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	13	-15	15.4	15.9	-0.54	14.9	16.6	-1.76
Vonteego Cummings	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	20	-29	15.7	15.5	0.27	10.9	15.7	-4.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 77, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SEA 80, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	95.6%