inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 80 Excitement4.5 [874] MVPDale Ellis (SEA): +9.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 93 Comeback1.2 [890] LVPGary Payton (SEA): -22.2%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.000.01980%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Sam Perkins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.000.06693%0.052-0.03250%-0.02
Jim McIlvaine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
George Zidek-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Vin Baker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.00653%0.002-0.04367%-0.00
Detlef Schrempf-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.031359%0.023-0.06367%-0.00
Nate McMillan-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Aaron Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02714%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Greg Anthony-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.02560%-0.053-0.03580%-0.01
Hersey Hawkins-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.0160%-0.112-0.0400%0.00
Gary Payton-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.19-0.04-0.011638%-0.057-0.172100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00773%0.102-0.058100%0.03
Jon Barry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Bennett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corie Blount00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00350%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02469%0.021-0.035100%0.03
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.011254%0.053-0.062100%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00350%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.041367%0.108-0.131100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.000.011025%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.011456%-0.005-0.111527%-0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.524.316.426.82.031.3128.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +39.3%
LAL +3.2%
LAL +9.3%
SEA -2.6%
LAL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEALALNBASEALALNBA
this game16.014.715.684.2101.1102.5
season15.314.8109.3110.0
opponent15.616.2102.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA13.218.415.917.616.0
LAL14.014.413.417.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Williams30280.02-0.520.54-0.011-141513.417.2-3.8115.714.31.35
George Zidek67-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-1078.516.6-8.0512.314.9-2.66
Jim McIlvaine34-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-11914.316.1-1.7623.214.48.90
Hersey Hawkins7172-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-182315.418.0-2.6215.611.54.08
Gary Payton7977-0.21-0.290.09-0.12-3-10715.220.2-4.9814.416.3-1.90
Nate McMillan2621-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-5-317.015.71.3213.015.3-2.25
Sam Perkins5955-0.24-0.260.03-0.21-1-121115.516.9-1.3614.515.0-0.48
Detlef Schrempf7169-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.20-6-7117.013.13.9015.213.31.86
Vin Baker6161-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-12-1-1116.914.52.3613.816.6-2.83
Dale Ellis4137-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.07-130-1318.214.43.7415.214.40.84
Greg Anthony2829-0.49-0.01-0.470.19-2310-3317.415.51.9713.815.2-1.43

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal79810.61-0.110.72-0.0924-113514.317.7-3.4417.38.78.59
Nick Van Exel47500.55-0.050.59-0.3029-164513.715.8-2.1217.114.92.15
Eddie Jones79820.470.030.440.091301314.913.90.9516.215.01.21
Robert Horry71740.420.080.34-0.0516-31915.213.21.9515.418.1-2.70
Kobe Bryant31350.260.240.010.0285314.814.70.1017.615.12.51
Rick Fox67690.210.29-0.090.0367-114.615.2-0.6315.716.9-1.21
Elden Campbell33340.110.39-0.280.23-417-2114.514.8-0.3014.317.0-2.77
Jon Barry210.000.50-0.500.06-215-1714.014.8-0.764.016.2-12.17
Corie Blount210.000.50-0.500.06-215-1714.014.8-0.764.016.2-12.17
Derek Fisher4545-0.050.55-0.590.42-1629-4515.813.72.1214.917.1-2.15
Mario Bennett43-0.080.58-0.660.13-720-2718.514.63.939.316.3-6.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 75, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
CLE 68, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
WAS 92, NYK 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,195.5%