inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 104 Excitement8.7 [145] MVPCarlos Arroyo (DEN): +16.6%
Golden State Warriors 108 Comeback3.7 [460] LVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): -38.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.170.040.130.002100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01762%0.0300.002100%0.01
Mengke Bateer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01644%-0.0100.00475%0.01
Zendon Hamilton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01753%-0.0100.00540%-0.02
Ryan Bowen-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02325%-0.021-0.0220%-0.01
Chris Andersen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
James Posey-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02714%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.06-0.021338%-0.033-0.1000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19-0.11-0.060.021738%-0.152-0.04580%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.26-0.07-0.140.051952%-0.193-0.071479%-0.01
George McCloud-0.380,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.38-0.13-0.27-0.021443%-0.056-0.3300%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.15,0.090.09-0.050.11-0.041661%0.176-0.08967%-0.01
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00560%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001100%0.023-0.071100%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.06-0.011256%-0.031-0.021060%0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.09,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.021353%-0.014-0.07683%0.03
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.00835%-0.062-0.04475%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.10-0.022149%-0.013-0.11333%-0.09
Adonal Foyle0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.07-0.18-0.01922%-0.2400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.427.616.429.82.637.6140.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +25.5%
GSW +18.4%
DEN -11.6%
GSW +15.2%
GSW +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game14.612.515.698.1100.9102.3
season16.114.799.7100.7
opponent15.115.2106.2105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.715.912.615.314.6
GSW12.011.813.113.012.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo17180.30-0.801.100.049-132215.114.50.6514.412.12.37
Mengke Bateer2324-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-5615.514.31.1514.711.82.93
Ryan Bowen3131-0.14-0.360.230.04-62-814.514.6-0.1810.813.1-2.31
Chris Andersen2322-0.22-0.280.060.01-84-1214.514.6-0.0710.613.0-2.32
Kenny Satterfield3030-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-73-1015.114.40.6911.912.7-0.85
Juwan Howard7273-0.24-0.260.01-0.395-91414.714.40.3313.011.41.56
George McCloud7576-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.343-71014.514.9-0.4212.911.51.40
Zendon Hamilton3333-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-95-1414.814.50.2611.812.8-1.04
James Posey4949-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-128-2014.614.50.0710.813.9-3.06
Voshon Lenard6768-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.434-81214.414.8-0.4313.510.62.93
Calbert Cheaney6464-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-3214.315.0-0.6212.013.1-1.11
Donnell Harvey4647-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.431-5614.214.9-0.7512.812.20.52

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob Sura56540.64-0.140.790.6113-213.611.32.3313.915.3-1.44
Adonal Foyle67670.58-0.080.660.1714-102410.615.7-5.1514.614.50.14
Jason Richardson90900.450.050.400.3340411.915.5-3.6314.415.4-1.02
Gilbert Arenas80790.450.050.400.247-31011.714.9-3.2315.013.31.77
Antawn Jamison89870.430.070.350.4013-212.114.1-1.9713.917.7-3.79
Danny Fortson61600.250.25-0.010.105-1612.312.7-0.3514.015.3-1.25
Chris Mills23230.000.50-0.500.03-15-615.011.83.1616.714.02.65
Erick Dampier4039-0.080.58-0.660.21-1014-2415.710.65.1514.514.6-0.14
Troy Murphy2931-0.220.72-0.93-0.19-15-613.712.01.7116.513.82.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.45,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 83, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.92,191.5%
POR 80, HOU 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.82,190.2%
POR 113, PHX 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.58,190.1%