NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	6.8 [439]		MVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): +21.5%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	2.2 [157]		LVP	Mo Williams (UTA): -20.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.02	12	73%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.10	-0.03	13	56%	0.27	4	-0.15	10	90%	0.06
Iman Shumpert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	55%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	13	36%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	27%	-0.11	1	-0.04	12	42%	-0.13
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	14	32%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	29.3	17.5	29.5	3.4	35.0	145.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.4%

NYK +7.5%

UTA -14.6%

NYK +7.3%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	17.5	15.4	103.4	96.5	104.1
season	16.2	16.0		107.9	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	14.8	15.4	16.7	15.9
UTA	18.4	14.5	18.9	18.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	58	57	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	15.4	16.8	-1.36	17.1	18.1	-0.93
Jason Kidd	54	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-1	9	14.5	18.0	-3.51	16.6	18.8	-2.21
Raymond Felton	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	16.2	14.1	2.08	18.1	14.4	3.70
Kurt Thomas	51	49	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	4	-1	15.2	16.7	-1.49	16.5	18.7	-2.15
Steve Novak	31	29	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	16.9	15.3	1.59	16.9	17.8	-0.89
Chris Copeland	54	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	4	-1	16.2	15.3	0.93	18.1	16.3	1.82
Kenyon Martin	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	16.1	15.6	0.50	18.5	16.7	1.85
Marcus Camby	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	12.4	16.6	-4.26	14.0	18.2	-4.24
Pablo Prigioni	33	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	8	-9	18.0	14.5	3.51	18.8	16.6	2.21
Iman Shumpert	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	10	-13	16.8	15.4	1.36	18.1	17.1	0.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	-3	-1	19.5	16.4	3.06	18.6	14.5	4.16
Paul Millsap	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	17.6	17.3	0.26	16.2	15.4	0.82
Earl Watson	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	17.1	17.7	-0.57	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Alec Burks	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-5	3	16.8	17.7	-0.86	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Enes Kanter	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.7	17.8	-1.15	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Gordon Hayward	66	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-4	1	17.2	18.2	-1.04	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Derrick Favors	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-6	5	17.2	17.7	-0.48	16.0	15.7	0.31
Mo Williams	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-4	1	17.7	17.1	0.57	16.5	14.8	1.64
Al Jefferson	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	18.0	16.6	1.33	16.5	14.8	1.61
Marvin Williams	52	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	-2	-3	16.9	18.3	-1.34	15.0	17.1	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.9%
GSW 97, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
DEN 105, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	92.5%