inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement7.1 [441] MVPMarco Belinelli (ATL): +13.6%
Atlanta Hawks 100 Comeback1.3 [989] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -16.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.040.021362%0.1300.00367%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.07-0.001253%0.1200.006100%0.04
Mason Plumlee0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.090.050.050.00464%0.0900.00650%-0.03
Paul Millsap0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.001253%0.111-0.03667%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.011653%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Will Barton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02-0.050.06-0.011753%0.155-0.1300%0.00
Malik Beasley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.160,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.011225%-0.121-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.040.00894%0.253-0.1100%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00959%0.0600.004100%0.02
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00487%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.020.011656%0.0400.004100%0.02
Isaiah Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.010.010.04-0.010.021468%0.134-0.1200%0.00
Luke Babbitt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02939%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.011132%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00629%-0.061-0.032100%0.02
John Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.001125%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.90.826.315.424.31.837.0132.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +10.7%
DEN +7.5%
DEN +25.2%
DEN +4.8%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game15.015.214.7109.4105.3107.5
season14.714.6111.2104.2
opponent14.414.7109.8109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.813.014.714.515.0
ATL13.516.515.315.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emmanuel Mudiay57560.62-0.120.730.359-41314.615.4-0.7614.815.8-1.01
Will Barton58590.61-0.110.710.349-41314.715.4-0.7214.915.6-0.66
Mason Plumlee38390.430.070.370.237-2915.614.51.1114.215.9-1.64
Gary Harris68680.350.150.210.38-16-715.214.50.7015.215.3-0.08
Nikola Jokic67670.270.230.050.048-31115.114.70.3815.514.50.94
Paul Millsap62610.150.35-0.210.29-510-1514.915.1-0.2915.015.5-0.47
Kenneth Faried22210.130.37-0.240.0723-115.214.90.2917.314.62.68
Malik Beasley21200.070.43-0.360.0123-114.315.1-0.8616.914.72.15
Wilson Chandler48450.000.50-0.490.06-27-914.615.3-0.6214.515.8-1.35
Jamal Murray3939-0.130.63-0.76-0.02-49-1315.414.60.7615.814.81.01

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt01-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-550.015.2-15.2029.014.814.19
Isaiah Taylor99-0.06-0.440.380.09-50-515.015.2-0.2214.815.0-0.20
Dewayne Dedmon6162-0.10-0.400.29-0.286-111715.514.60.9114.815.2-0.34
Dennis Schroder6566-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-91315.414.80.6314.615.7-1.03
John Collins2930-0.17-0.330.160.04-72-914.115.7-1.6314.415.2-0.76
Kent Bazemore5351-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-50-515.614.61.0015.714.21.51
Ersan Ilyasova5760-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-6714.915.6-0.6815.514.11.36
Marco Belinelli5759-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-4315.215.20.0313.916.7-2.84
Taurean Prince6566-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-4315.015.7-0.7315.014.80.23
Mike Muscala4340-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.24-61-715.614.80.7814.715.1-0.36
Malcolm Delaney3636-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-116-1714.915.4-0.4615.914.41.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 113, DEN 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,094.1%
ATL 77, CHH 710.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,094.0%
LAC 91, NJN 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,093.7%