NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	6.3 [538]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +6.8%
Detroit Pistons	77		Comeback	5.2 [387]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	7	43%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.04	0.06	15	81%	0.23	7	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	71%	0.14	3	-0.08	7	86%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.07	-0.04	22	43%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Steve Novak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	63%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	17	47%	0.11	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.02	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	21%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	28.3	18.4	21.6	2.6	25.0	126.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.0%

NYK +1.1%

NYK +17.0%

DET -0.0%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.4	95.6	85.6	104.1
season	16.2	15.7		107.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	16.4	17.2	18.0	16.1
DET	17.5	14.2	15.5	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	60	59	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.16	24	-14	38	16.9	14.7	2.17	15.3	16.5	-1.18
J.R. Smith	75	74	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-4	18	16.7	13.6	3.06	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Raymond Felton	71	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	2	6	16.1	16.3	-0.20	16.1	14.3	1.80
Pablo Prigioni	31	31	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-5	20	17.3	15.5	1.79	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-2	14	15.6	17.2	-1.56	16.4	14.4	2.02
Marcus Camby	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	8	-6	18.0	15.9	2.11	12.7	16.0	-3.35
Steve Novak	30	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	17.0	15.7	1.23	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Kurt Thomas	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	10	-10	13.6	16.4	-2.79	17.6	15.5	2.05
James White	16	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	14	-18	13.6	16.7	-3.06	16.3	15.5	0.77
Tyson Chandler	57	56	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	19	-28	15.9	16.5	-0.52	15.8	15.4	0.38
Iman Shumpert	38	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	20	-30	14.5	17.3	-2.78	16.4	15.2	1.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	49	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-9	8	16.5	14.7	1.78	15.6	16.8	-1.13
Brandon Knight	76	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-10	10	15.4	17.1	-1.65	15.9	17.3	-1.35
Viacheslav Kravtsov	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-8	6	15.1	15.9	-0.81	16.0	16.2	-0.13
Kyle Singler	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	15.5	17.4	-1.94	16.1	16.5	-0.46
Jose Calderon	74	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-7	4	16.0	14.2	1.81	16.2	15.9	0.32
Jason Maxiell	69	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.9	15.0	0.95	16.3	15.7	0.50
Will Bynum	30	32	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	7	-24	15.5	15.7	-0.22	16.5	15.9	0.60
Rodney Stuckey	48	48	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.25	-18	8	-26	15.2	16.2	-1.05	16.6	15.6	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.27,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.04,0	91.4%
CHH 94, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	90.6%
PHI 83, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.04,0	89.9%