NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	6.4 [525]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +11.3%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	3.5 [594]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -29.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.06	0.04	13	72%	0.18	2	-0.07	10	80%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bryce Drew	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	5	45%	-0.01	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	21	36%	-0.07	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	78%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	18	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.08	0.08	19	55%	-0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.12	0.07	15	47%	-0.15	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.8	29.0	15.7	27.2	1.8	36.5	134.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +44.5%

CHI -4.3%

CHH +13.2%

CHI -1.1%

CHI -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.6	97.9	88.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.6		102.2	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	16.0	14.0	13.9	14.6
CHI	15.7	17.5	14.2	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	54	53	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.16	25	-17	42	11.5	18.6	-7.12	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Stacey Augmon	54	53	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-11	30	12.9	16.8	-3.91	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Robert Traylor	41	38	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-5	18	12.2	16.5	-4.26	14.1	15.9	-1.81
Baron Davis	87	88	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	14.3	17.4	-3.10	15.1	16.2	-1.12
David Wesley	86	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	5	-2	14.5	15.4	-0.85	15.1	16.4	-1.33
Bryce Drew	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	5	-2	16.4	14.2	2.16	16.3	14.9	1.38
Lee Nailon	34	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	16.5	13.6	2.93	14.8	15.5	-0.68
P.J. Brown	55	59	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	13	-18	16.5	12.2	4.26	15.9	14.1	1.81
George Lynch	8	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	15	-22	18.1	14.3	3.81	18.6	14.9	3.69
Elden Campbell	42	44	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.11	-17	25	-42	18.6	11.5	7.12	15.5	15.0	0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	41	38	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.02	13	-21	34	16.0	14.7	1.29	17.4	12.8	4.61
Trenton Hassell	33	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-11	14	16.8	14.4	2.44	16.0	14.0	2.06
Greg Anthony	65	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.8	14.3	0.51
Marcus Fizer	81	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-6	4	14.8	17.4	-2.67	14.8	13.9	0.84
Ron Mercer	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	15.1	15.7	-0.61	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Kevin Ollie	32	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	2	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.26	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Eddie Robinson	26	24	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	11	-30	16.0	14.9	1.14	11.0	15.8	-4.79
Metta World Peace	71	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	-2	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.61	15.2	12.9	2.30
Tyson Chandler	56	58	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.28	-21	13	-34	14.7	16.0	-1.29	12.8	17.4	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.04,0	91.4%
HOU 112, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	91.2%
ATL 114, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.58,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	90.7%