NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	7.7 [311]		MVP	Jared Dudley (WAS): +18.0%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	5.6 [185]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -21.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	4	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	5	70%	0.17	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Nene	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	10	90%	0.21	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	11	64%	0.12	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	11	70%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	3	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	35%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0,-0.18	-0.18	0.05	-0.22	0.02	14	56%	-0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	18	51%	0.02	6	-0.24	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	31.0	16.0	25.1	1.8	36.1	132.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +51.1%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +4.6%

DET -10.4%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	13.7	17.2	14.9	105.4	101.1	105.1
season	13.8	15.0		104.1	104.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	14.0	13.5	14.0	13.7
DET	18.5	16.5	17.0	16.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	48	48	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.39	23	-21	44	13.0	14.5	-1.46	18.2	16.2	1.99
Nene	42	42	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.17	24	-22	46	13.1	14.3	-1.14	18.4	16.2	2.24
Jared Dudley	49	50	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-13	28	13.8	13.7	0.17	18.2	16.1	2.11
Ramon Sessions	39	39	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.03	22	-20	42	13.3	14.0	-0.70	18.9	16.0	2.96
Otto Porter	62	63	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	6	-10	13.5	14.3	-0.88	16.5	18.5	-2.02
Gary Neal	27	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	0	2	14.4	13.4	1.00	18.3	16.7	1.61
Bradley Beal	57	58	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.50	-20	22	-42	14.0	13.4	0.59	16.1	19.0	-2.93
John Wall	53	55	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.47	-20	22	-42	14.0	13.3	0.70	16.0	18.9	-2.96
Kris Humphries	33	35	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	12	-22	14.2	13.5	0.74	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Marcin Gortat	50	52	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.28	-22	24	-46	14.3	13.1	1.14	16.2	18.4	-2.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	63	63	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.42	18	-20	38	16.1	19.5	-3.42	14.0	13.2	0.78
Marcus Morris	72	71	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.43	15	-17	32	16.5	19.5	-3.07	14.3	11.7	2.62
Ersan Ilyasova	66	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-15	28	16.1	19.7	-3.64	13.9	13.4	0.52
Reggie Bullock	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	6	-14	23.1	16.5	6.61	11.1	14.0	-2.91
Andre Drummond	74	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-10	18	16.3	20.4	-4.14	13.9	13.1	0.80
Aron Baynes	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	8	-18	20.4	16.3	4.14	13.1	13.9	-0.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	16.3	20.8	-4.58	13.8	13.6	0.16
Anthony Tolliver	28	27	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	13	-28	19.7	16.1	3.64	13.4	13.9	-0.52
Stanley Johnson	31	30	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	14	-30	19.2	16.2	2.99	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	31	29	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.03	-20	18	-38	19.5	16.1	3.42	13.2	14.0	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.27,0.05,0,0,0,0	91.4%
CHH 94, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	91.4%
SAC 113, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.05,0	90.1%