NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	8.7 [164]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): +41.5%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	2.1 [577]		LVP	Jose Calderon (DET): -16.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.06	0.18	0.00	6	77%	0.28	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.10
Brandon Knight	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.03	18	61%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0.11,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	22	52%	0.15	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kim English	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.00	-0.14	0.01	5	64%	-0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.29	0.05	15	68%	0.41	0	0.00	7	100%	0.09
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	17	47%	0.13	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	18	48%	-0.01	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.0	31.3	15.4	27.3	0.8	35.2	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -3.4%

NOH +18.6%

NOH +23.7%

NOH +13.3%

DET -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOH	NBA	DET	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.4	106.7	111.1	104.1
season	15.7	16.3		102.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.1	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	16.8	14.5	16.1	15.8
NOH	16.0	16.7	14.8	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	71	74	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.23	11	-16	27	14.6	20.5	-5.88	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Charlie Villanueva	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-9	13	16.7	15.7	1.09	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Viacheslav Kravtsov	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.8	0.44	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Jose Calderon	65	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	15.4	17.0	-1.69	15.8	18.1	-2.37
Kim English	10	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	4	-13	20.7	15.2	5.51	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Jason Maxiell	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	16.4	14.8	1.59	17.2	15.0	2.19
Jonas Jerebko	33	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	5	-15	15.7	15.9	-0.13	17.1	15.9	1.14
Greg Monroe	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-8	11	15.3	17.3	-1.94	15.9	18.0	-2.19
Will Bynum	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	4	-13	17.0	15.4	1.69	18.1	15.8	2.37
Kyle Singler	55	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-3	1	16.4	14.8	1.64	16.0	16.9	-0.98
Rodney Stuckey	43	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	7	-19	15.5	16.1	-0.58	16.9	15.8	1.13

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-1	7	16.3	16.4	-0.11	16.9	13.1	3.81
Austin Rivers	50	49	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-6	17	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.9	15.7	0.15
Robin Lopez	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	16.9	15.4	1.58	16.4	14.9	1.55
Greivis Vasquez	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	16.3	16.7	-0.38	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Roger Mason Jr.	27	28	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-7	19	17.0	16.1	0.85	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Ryan Anderson	82	81	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	6	-7	16.2	18.4	-2.20	15.4	20.2	-4.88
Eric Gordon	56	56	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	12	-19	16.0	17.0	-1.02	15.9	15.7	0.13
Lance Thomas	35	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.9	16.6	-0.69	14.3	16.7	-2.44
Xavier Henry	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	7	-9	16.8	16.3	0.56	15.0	15.9	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,1	91.7%
LAC 111, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	91.2%
DEN 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.45,0.85,1	90.7%