NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	9.4 [84]		MVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): +44.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	2.4 [567]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -33.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	22	53%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Eric Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	19	59%	0.25	5	-0.16	13	77%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.30	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Willie Warren	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	10	30%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.33	-0.06	-0.28	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.37	6	100%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.13,0.45	0.45	0.17	0.28	0.00	23	67%	0.56	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.03	0.01	11	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	8	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	79%	0.08	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.05
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.02	8	39%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	34.3	16.5	26.4	3.4	34.5	141.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +13.3%

MIN +6.0%

LAC -13.6%

MIN +41.2%

MIN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	13.5	15.5	116.8	117.7	105.7
season	15.4	14.3		104.4	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.3	19.4	16.2	13.7	16.7
MIN	12.2	11.9	12.6	17.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Warren	10	12	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-8	14	23.7	15.8	7.88	14.1	13.4	0.64
Craig Smith	40	41	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-7	12	16.0	17.1	-1.13	15.0	12.4	2.62
Jarron Collins	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	18.5	15.8	2.75	11.9	14.3	-2.38
Rasual Butler	33	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.5	0.49	12.4	14.2	-1.76
Eric Bledsoe	70	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	3	-8	16.3	17.6	-1.23	14.0	12.3	1.66
Ryan Gomes	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-1	0	17.1	16.3	0.77	12.5	14.3	-1.80
DeAndre Jordan	46	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	1	-4	17.2	16.1	1.09	12.9	14.1	-1.15
Eric Gordon	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	0	-2	16.1	18.9	-2.87	13.5	13.5	0.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	16.1	17.5	-1.42	14.3	12.5	1.80
Blake Griffin	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.9	19.3	-3.44	13.7	12.8	0.97

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.66	0	2	-2	13.7	13.0	0.61	16.7	16.3	0.41
Michael Beasley	77	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-5	12	13.5	13.8	-0.33	16.2	18.2	-2.02
Corey Brewer	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	14.3	12.6	1.70	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Anthony Tolliver	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	0	2	14.1	13.1	0.94	17.2	16.2	0.99
Wesley Johnson	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	3	-4	13.1	14.1	-0.95	16.9	16.2	0.71
Luke Ridnour	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	-3	8	13.5	13.6	-0.06	17.1	16.2	0.84
Kosta Koufos	13	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	4	-6	10.2	14.0	-3.89	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Darko Milicic	65	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.16	4	-2	6	13.7	13.1	0.58	16.3	17.4	-1.09
Wayne Ellington	6	5	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	11.3	13.7	-2.33	22.2	16.3	5.86
Sebastian Telfair	47	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	13.6	13.5	0.06	16.5	16.8	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.9%
DAL 66, UTA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1	91.6%
DEN 103, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.4%