NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	8.5 [185]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +18.6%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.9 [791]		LVP	Mo Williams (UTA): -57.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	6	60%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	58%	0.15	0	0.00	14	71%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.18	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	21	43%	-0.14	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Mo Williams	-0.58	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.58	-0.14	-0.42	0.01	19	36%	-0.47	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	9	64%	0.27	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	8	73%	0.17	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	17	56%	0.11	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.06
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	1	60%	0.00	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	10	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.07
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.3	16.0	25.3	2.4	35.2	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +58.1%

BOS +18.8%

UTA -33.8%

BOS +8.6%

UTA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.8	14.2	15.4	103.3	108.9	104.1
season	16.0	14.9		104.6	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.1		101.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	17.1	18.9	18.0	17.8
BOS	15.2	11.7	14.7	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	49	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	17.5	18.3	-0.78	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Gordon Hayward	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	17.5	18.5	-1.06	14.4	13.8	0.58
Mo Williams	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	18.0	17.3	0.64	14.3	13.6	0.73
Enes Kanter	21	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	3	-11	18.0	17.8	0.20	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Al Jefferson	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	18.2	16.8	1.39	14.2	14.1	0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	18	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	17.3	18.0	-0.64	13.6	14.3	-0.73
Derrick Favors	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	18.0	17.7	0.33	14.7	13.6	1.10
Paul Millsap	77	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	17.9	17.2	0.72	14.3	13.6	0.72
Randy Foye	44	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	7	-19	17.7	17.9	-0.18	13.3	15.0	-1.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	49	50	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	14.6	13.6	0.96	17.7	18.0	-0.28
Leandro Barbosa	42	42	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-8	21	14.5	13.8	0.69	18.0	17.7	0.34
Kevin Garnett	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-4	13	14.0	14.4	-0.41	18.4	16.9	1.59
Courtney Lee	33	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-6	17	13.7	14.4	-0.68	18.7	17.3	1.41
Brandon Bass	61	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	7	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.28	17.2	19.3	-2.13
Jared Sullinger	29	27	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-2	9	14.3	14.1	0.28	19.3	17.2	2.13
Paul Pierce	57	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.85	17.7	18.1	-0.44
Chris Wilcox	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	9	-13	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.9	18.4	-1.59
Rajon Rondo	48	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	13	-21	13.8	14.5	-0.69	17.7	18.0	-0.34
Jason Terry	41	42	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	15	-25	14.4	13.9	0.48	17.5	18.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.58,1	92.3%
LAC 111, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	91.9%
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	91.4%