NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	8.9 [156]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +33.9%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.6 [812]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -21.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.06	0.02	11	86%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	58%	0.12	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	-0.03	0.05	0.02	21	50%	0.13	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.08
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	69%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Marcus Banks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.22	0.05	-0.24	0.03	21	60%	-0.00	4	-0.21	5	80%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.13	0.02	24	73%	0.39	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.21	0.21	-0.03	0.24	0.00	11	41%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	2	70%	0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Ike Diogu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	13	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	52%	0.01	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	29.3	15.8	25.8	1.8	34.4	133.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +68.5%

BOS -27.5%

BOS -34.1%

GSW +42.0%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	15.6	112.4	114.4	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		103.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.0	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	14.7	14.4	16.0	14.4
GSW	13.2	15.3	15.0	18.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	56	56	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-11	20	14.6	14.1	0.46	16.3	13.9	2.43
Ryan Gomes	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-4	6	10.0	14.5	-4.46	19.0	15.2	3.76
Al Jefferson	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-4	6	15.4	13.9	1.54	15.4	15.2	0.24
Raef LaFrentz	58	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-2	2	15.0	13.5	1.55	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	29	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	13.5	14.8	-1.28	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Delonte West	74	74	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-8	14	13.7	16.7	-3.05	15.6	14.2	1.45
Marcus Banks	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	8	-18	14.9	14.1	0.81	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Justin Reed	1	1	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	0	-2	5.0	14.5	-9.51	1.0	15.4	-14.43
Paul Pierce	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.2	15.6	-1.44	15.1	16.1	-0.94
Orien Greene	20	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.1	1.69	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Ricky Davis	95	94	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	3	-8	14.3	22.0	-7.75	15.3	13.3	2.01

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	76	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	14.7	17.3	-2.56	14.5	14.0	0.47
Jason Richardson	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	15.4	14.5	0.83	14.2	16.5	-2.30
Baron Davis	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	15.1	16.1	-0.93	14.6	13.5	1.07
Derek Fisher	51	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	15.3	15.3	-0.01	14.7	14.1	0.55
Adonal Foyle	46	45	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	-8	18	15.0	15.5	-0.49	15.8	13.2	2.67
Troy Murphy	75	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	7	-12	15.4	14.7	0.71	14.6	13.7	0.88
Aaron Miles	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	0	2	14.4	15.3	-0.93	10.6	14.6	-4.02
Calbert Cheaney	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	4	-6	17.1	15.0	2.08	13.1	14.6	-1.54
Andris Biedrins	2	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	20.0	15.2	4.82	7.0	14.6	-7.57
Ike Diogu	48	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	10	-18	15.6	14.9	0.69	13.6	15.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.65,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.66,0.42,1	92.6%
WAS 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.73,1	92.5%
LAL 109, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.53,1	92.2%