NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	8.0 [232]		MVP	Lee Nailon (CLE): +15.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.9 [851]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -24.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.04	-0.02	26	56%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.00	10	82%	0.19	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	58%	0.06	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	77%	0.12	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	7	37%	-0.08	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	9	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	1	117%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.12
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.24	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-0.01	22	54%	-0.08	4	-0.17	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	31.6	15.6	23.0	1.8	36.1	136.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -4.3%

CLE +25.0%

CLE +6.5%

CLE +13.9%

CLE +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.7	116.9	124.4	100.5
season	16.7	15.7		101.1	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	18.6	15.0	17.5	16.3
CLE	16.8	15.7	15.7	18.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	15	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-8	13	16.2	16.3	-0.14	19.4	16.1	3.28
Jeff Foster	48	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	15.5	17.2	-1.68	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Fred Jones	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	16.8	16.1	0.67	17.4	16.3	1.07
Jonathan Bender	30	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	2	-7	17.8	15.6	2.19	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Anthony Johnson	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-3	3	16.6	16.2	0.46	17.7	16.0	1.68
Reggie Miller	52	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	8	-11	19	15.1	18.0	-2.93	17.0	16.1	0.97
Metta World Peace	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-7	11	16.6	15.9	0.68	16.1	17.3	-1.15
Jamaal Tinsley	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	1	-5	16.2	16.6	-0.46	16.0	17.7	-1.68
Jermaine O'Neal	74	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	5	-13	16.3	16.2	0.14	16.1	19.4	-3.28
Al Harrington	60	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	8	-19	16.8	15.3	1.54	16.9	16.0	0.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	73	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-5	13	16.3	18.3	-2.01	16.4	15.7	0.70
LeBron James	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	16.5	18.0	-1.50	15.9	21.0	-5.09
Lee Nailon	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	-4	11	17.4	15.7	1.72	17.0	15.5	1.45
Kevin Ollie	24	23	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-8	19	16.2	16.8	-0.55	18.0	15.7	2.27
Tony Battie	34	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-3	9	16.9	16.4	0.41	17.9	15.3	2.64
Ira Newble	31	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	4	-5	15.0	17.5	-2.56	15.4	16.9	-1.56
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.5	0.18	15.5	17.5	-2.04
Jeff McInnis	62	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	10	-17	16.8	16.2	0.55	15.7	18.0	-2.27
DeSagana Diop	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	3	-3	16.2	16.6	-0.47	14.0	16.5	-2.45
Eric Williams	13	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	7	-11	17.2	16.5	0.74	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Dajuan Wagner	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	19.3	16.2	3.05	19.6	15.8	3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	92.3%
UTA 99, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.73,1	91.7%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	91.7%