NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	7.9 [233]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): +8.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	2.5 [439]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -21.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	14	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Carr	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	17	55%	0.07	5	-0.14	10	80%	0.06
Jeff Hornacek	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	0.03	8	55%	-0.02	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	82%	0.09	0	0.00	16	100%	0.07
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.07,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.10	0.01	9	56%	0.12	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	60%	0.15	5	-0.18	14	71%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	15	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.2	14.7	27.2	2.5	39.2	138.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +10.2%

CLE +14.1%

UTA -4.2%

CLE +29.7%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.6	104.1	110.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		108.1	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		97.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	18.3	13.7	14.2	15.1
CLE	16.2	14.4	14.0	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	75	72	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-13	21	15.2	14.5	0.77	15.2	13.4	1.83
Greg Foster	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.3	-0.90	15.1	14.7	0.39
Jeff Hornacek	70	68	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-15	25	14.0	17.7	-3.62	14.8	14.7	0.11
Antoine Carr	38	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-12	19	14.3	15.6	-1.30	16.2	13.8	2.41
Howard Eisley	45	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.4	13.9	2.56	15.3	14.3	1.01
John Stockton	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	14.2	16.1	-1.99	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Greg Ostertag	22	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	7	-19	17.4	14.4	2.99	11.9	15.6	-3.70
Bryon Russell	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	3	-11	16.3	14.0	2.36	15.0	14.7	0.29
Karl Malone	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	14.4	17.0	-2.64	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Shandon Anderson	41	42	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.19	-17	12	-29	15.8	14.5	1.26	14.0	15.4	-1.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	76	76	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-4	13	14.0	17.6	-3.61	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Derek Anderson	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	0	5	15.6	13.6	2.05	15.4	14.6	0.82
Wesley Person	90	90	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.41	1	4	-3	14.8	14.3	0.49	14.9	17.1	-2.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	7	-9	14.6	15.1	-0.53	14.5	15.8	-1.38
Shawn Kemp	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	14.5	16.2	-1.75	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Vitaly Potapenko	18	21	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	17.9	14.1	3.88	15.3	15.0	0.30
Danny Ferry	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	1	3	15.9	14.0	1.94	16.4	14.0	2.40
Shawnelle Scott	3	2	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	13.0	14.8	-1.85	16.5	15.0	1.48
Cedric Henderson	49	50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	13.5	16.1	-2.58	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Scott Brooks	10	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	4	-3	15.6	14.7	0.90	15.9	14.9	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	92.7%
MIA 109, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.91,1	92.7%
LAL 101, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.92,1	92.3%